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One of the more accurate Bracketologists with 10+ year experience. 98% accuracy rate since 2005. 15 years and going strong! Inaugural Super10 Mock Selection Committee member sponsored by the NCAA and Turner Sports. Follow me on twitter, join my facebook group, or like my facebook page.. UPDATED DAILY starting in January!!!! If this looks old, hit refresh! Official Bracketologist for
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OK North Carolina Fans, stop with the questions about at-large bids. Your team beat NC State.....that is not overly impressive. It helps, but doesn't really move the needle. Chill for a bit - win 7-8 more in a row, then we will talk. I feel NC State should be on the 11 line at best but just couldn't make it work, so they stay on the 10 line for now - next scrub will hopefully fix this. Iowa fans, your team had an impressive win. I know Wisconsin is now only 12-9, but they have some very nice wins, and had a big lead late. Kudos to Iowa! KU beat OK State - meh. Also, I still hate your team!
PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game. Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences.
Subscribe to my Podcast - hoping to have 2-3 per week as we get closer to the tourney. Older episodes available - click the In The News link to the left.
DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its NET in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..
The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.
Last updated 01/28/2020 05:37 AM Central Time
Seeds
| Seed | East - New York | Midwest - Indianapolis | South - Houston | West - Los Angeles | ||||
| 1 | San Diego State 21-0 | Kansas 17-3 | Baylor 17-1 | Gonzaga 21-1 | ||||
| 2 | Seton Hall 15-4 | Florida State 17-2 | Duke 16-3 | West Virginia 16-3 | ||||
| 3 | Louisville 17-3 | Dayton 18-2 | Villanova 16-3 | Oregon 17-4 | ||||
| 4 | Maryland 16-4 | Kentucky 15-4 | Michigan State 15-5 | Butler 16-4 | ||||
| 5 | LSU 15-4 | Penn State 14-5 | Creighton 16-5 | Auburn 17-2 | ||||
| 6 | Colorado 16-4 | Illinois 15-5 | Iowa 15-5 | Arkansas 15-4 | ||||
| 7 | USC 16-4 | Marquette 14-6 | Oklahoma 13-6 | ↑ | Indiana 15-5 | |||
| 8 | Arizona 13-6 | Houston 16-4 | Rutgers 15-5 | Wisconsin 12-9 | ↓ | |||
| 9 | Saint Mary's 18-4 | Stanford 15-4 | Wichita State 17-3 | Florida 12-7 | ↑ | |||
| 10 | Michigan 11-8 | BYU 15-7 | ETSU 18-3 | ↑ | NC State 14-7 | ↓ | ||
| 11 | Ohio State 13-7 | Texas Tech 12-7/Memphis 14-5 | Rhode Island 14-5 | Xavier 13-7 | ↓ | |||
| 12 | Akron 16-4 | Arizona State 12-7/Virginia Tech 14-6 | Northern Iowa 17-3 | SFA 17-3 | ||||
| 13 | Liberty 19-3 | Yale 14-4 | New Mexico State 15-6 | Western Kentucky 14-6 | ||||
| 14 | Colgate 16-5 | Wright State 18-4 | Vermont 15-6 | William & Mary 15-7 | ||||
| 15 | Winthrop 14-7 | South Dakota State 15-8 | Murray State 15-5 | Little Rock 14-7 | ||||
| 16 | UC Irvine 12-9 | PVA&M 10-10/Norfolk State 10-11 | Monmouth 12-7/Robert Morris 10-11 | Montana 11-9 | ||||
| Last 4 in - Memphis, Texas Tech, Virginia Tech, Arizona State | ||||||||
| First 4 out - Richmond, VCU, Virginia, Tennessee | ||||||||
| Moving In - | ||||||||
| Moving out - | ||||||||
| Others considered for at-large bids (no particular order) - Georgetown, Syracuse, Purdue, Miami-FLA, St. Johns, Minnesota, Duquesne, Mississippi State, Georgia, Pittsburgh, Notre Dame, Wake Forest, Connecticut, Cincinnati, Providence, SMU, TCU, DePaul, Alabama, Minnesota, Missouri, South Carolina, Temple, Oregon State, Saint Louis, Clemson, UNCG, Oklahoma State, Utah, Texas, Furman, Washington, Tulsa | ||||||||
| On Life Support (but probably dead) - Kansas State, Boston College, Ole Miss, North Carolina, Utah State, Iowa State, Washington State | ||||||||
| No longer considered for at-large bid - Vanderbilt, San Francisco, Boise State, LaSalle, George Mason, UCF, Nevada, New Mexico, Kent State, Santa Clara | ||||||||
| Multi bid conferences - Big 10 (10), Big East (6), PAC12 (6), Big 12 (5), ACC (5), SEC (5), AAC (3), WCC (3), A10 (2) | ||||||||
| Leaders or highest NET from projected 1-bid conferences - (23 total): America East - Vermont, Atlantic Sun - Liberty, Big Sky - Montana, Big South - Campbell, Big West - UC Irvine, CAA - William & Mary, C-USA - Western Kentucky, Horizon - Wright State, Ivy - Yale, MAAC - Monmouth, MAC - Akron, MEAC - Norfolk State, MVC - Northern Iowa, MWC - San Diego State, Northeast - Robert Morris, OVC - Murray State, Patriot - Colgate, Southern - ETSU, Southland - SFA, SWAC - Prairie View A&M, Summit - South Dakota State, Sun Belt - Little Rock, WAC - New Mexico State | ||||||||
| Banned from participating - Georgia Tech, Detroit | ||||||||
| Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - Cal Baptist, North Alabama, Merrimack | ||||||||
| Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament. | ||||||||
| Teams in Black are Virtual LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest NET chosen for now) | ||||||||
| Teams in Red have work left to do or need help | ||||||||
True Seed List
| Seed Line | Overall Seed | Team | Seed Line | Overall Seed | Team | Seed Line | Overall Seed | Texas | Seed Line | Overall Seed | Team |
| 1 | 1 | Baylor | 5 | 17 | LSU | 9 | 33 | Wichita State | 13 | 51 | Yale |
| 2 | Kansas | 18 | Auburn | 34 | Saint Mary's | 52 | Liberty | ||||
| 3 | Gonzaga | 19 | Creighton | 35 | Stanford | 53 | Western Kentucky | ||||
| 4 | San Diego State | 20 | Penn State | 36 | Florida | 54 | New Mexico State | ||||
| 2 | 5 | Seton Hall | 6 | 21 | Illinois | 10 | 37 | Michigan | 14 | 55 | Wright State |
| 6 | Florida State | 22 | Colorado | 38 | BYU | 56 | Vermont | ||||
| 7 | Duke | 23 | Iowa | 39 | ETSU | 57 | Colgate | ||||
| 8 | West Virginia | 24 | Arkansas | 40 | NC State | 58 | William & Mary | ||||
| 3 | 9 | Oregon | 7 | 25 | USC | 11 | 41 | Ohio State | 15 | 59 | Little Rock |
| 10 | Dayton | 26 | Indiana | 42 | Xavier | 60 | Murray State | ||||
| 11 | Louisville | 27 | Marquette | 43 | Rhode Island | 61 | Winthrop | ||||
| 12 | Villanova | 28 | Oklahoma | 44 | Memphis | 62 | South Dakota State | ||||
| 4 | 13 | Maryland | 8 | 29 | Wisconsin | 45 | Texas Tech | 16 | 63 | UC Irvine | |
| 14 | Kentucky | 30 | Arizona | 12 | 46 | Virginia Tech | 64 | Montana | |||
| 15 | Michigan State | 31 | Houston | 47 | Arizona State | 65 | Monmouth | ||||
| 16 | Butler | 32 | Rutgers | 48 | Northern Iowa | 66 | Robert Morris | ||||
| 49 | SFA | 67 | Norfolk State | ||||||||
| 50 | Akron | 68 | Prairie View A&M | ||||||||
| 1st 4 out | 1 | Richmond | |||||||||
| 2 | VCU | ||||||||||
| 3 | Virginia | ||||||||||
| 4 | Tennessee |
Bracket
| East - New York | South - Houston | |||||
| Sacramento | St. Louis | |||||
| 1 | San Diego State 21-0 | 1 | Baylor 17-1 | |||
| 16 | UC Irvine 12-9 | 16 | Monmouth 12-7/Robert Morris 10-11 | |||
| 8 | Arizona 13-6 | 8 | Rutgers 15-5 | |||
| 9 | Saint Mary's 18-4 | 9 | Wichita State 17-3 | |||
| Greensboro | Sacramento | |||||
| 5 | LSU 15-4 | 5 | Creighton 16-5 | |||
| 12 | Akron 16-4 | 12 | Northern Iowa 17-3 | |||
| 13 | Liberty 19-3 | 13 | New Mexico State 15-6 | |||
| 4 | Maryland 16-4 | 4 | Michigan State 15-5 | |||
| St. Louis | Albany | |||||
| 3 | Louisville 17-3 | 3 | Villanova 16-3 | |||
| 14 | Colgate 16-5 | 14 | Vermont 15-6 | |||
| 6 | Colorado 16-4 | 6 | Iowa 15-5 | |||
| 11 | Ohio State 13-7 | 11 | Rhode Island 14-5 | |||
| Albany | Greensboro | |||||
| 10 | Michigan 11-8 | 10 | ETSU 18-3 | ↑ | ||
| 7 | USC 16-4 | 7 | Oklahoma 13-6 | ↑ | ||
| 15 | Winthrop 14-7 | 15 | Murray State 15-5 | |||
| 2 | Seton Hall 15-4 | 2 | Duke 16-3 | |||
| West - Los Angeles | Midwest - Indianapolis | |||||
| Spokane | Omaha | |||||
| 1 | Gonzaga 21-1 | 1 | Kansas 17-3 | |||
| 16 | Montana 11-9 | 16 | PVA&M 10-10/Norfolk State 10-11 | |||
| 8 | Wisconsin 12-9 | ↓ | 8 | Houston 16-4 | ||
| 9 | Florida 12-7 | ↑ | 9 | Stanford 15-4 | ||
| Omaha | Tampa | |||||
| 5 | Auburn 17-2 | 5 | Penn State 14-5 | |||
| 12 | SFA 17-3 | 12 | Arizona State 12-7/Virginia Tech 14-6 | |||
| 13 | Western Kentucky 14-6 | 13 | Yale 14-4 | |||
| 4 | Butler 16-4 | 4 | Kentucky 15-4 | |||
| Spokane | Cleveland | |||||
| 3 | Oregon 17-4 | 3 | Dayton 18-2 | |||
| 14 | William & Mary 15-7 | 14 | Wright State 18-4 | |||
| 6 | Arkansas 15-4 | 6 | Illinois 15-5 | |||
| 11 | Xavier 13-7 | ↓ | 11 | Texas Tech 12-7/Memphis 14-5 | ||
| Cleveland | Tampa | |||||
| 10 | NC State 14-7 | ↓ | 10 | BYU 15-7 | ||
| 7 | Indiana 15-5 | 7 | Marquette 14-6 | |||
| 15 | Little Rock 14-7 | 15 | South Dakota State 15-8 | |||
| 2 | West Virginia 16-3 | 2 | Florida State 17-2 | |||
| Seed | East - New York | Midwest - Indianapolis | South - Houston | West - Los Angeles | ||||
| 1 | San Diego State 21-0 | Kansas 17-3 | Baylor 17-1 | Gonzaga 21-1 | ||||
| 16 | UC Irvine 12-9 | PVA&M 10-10/Norfolk State 10-11 | Monmouth 12-7/Robert Morris 10-11 | Montana 11-9 | ||||
| 8 | Arizona 13-6 | Houston 16-4 | Rutgers 15-5 | Wisconsin 12-9 | ↓ | |||
| 9 | Saint Mary's 18-4 | Stanford 15-4 | Wichita State 17-3 | Florida 12-7 | ↑ | |||
| 12 | Akron 16-4 | Arizona State 12-7/Virginia Tech 14-6 | Northern Iowa 17-3 | SFA 17-3 | ||||
| 5 | LSU 15-4 | Penn State 14-5 | Creighton 16-5 | Auburn 17-2 | ||||
| 13 | Liberty 19-3 | Yale 14-4 | New Mexico State 15-6 | Western Kentucky 14-6 | ||||
| 4 | Maryland 16-4 | Kentucky 15-4 | Michigan State 15-5 | Butler 16-4 | ||||
| 3 | Louisville 17-3 | Dayton 18-2 | Villanova 16-3 | Oregon 17-4 | ||||
| 14 | Colgate 16-5 | Wright State 18-4 | Vermont 15-6 | William & Mary 15-7 | ||||
| 6 | Colorado 16-4 | Illinois 15-5 | Iowa 15-5 | Arkansas 15-4 | ||||
| 11 | Ohio State 13-7 | Texas Tech 12-7/Memphis 14-5 | Rhode Island 14-5 | Xavier 13-7 | ↓ | |||
| 10 | Michigan 11-8 | BYU 15-7 | ETSU 18-3 | ↑ | NC State 14-7 | ↓ | ||
| 7 | USC 16-4 | Marquette 14-6 | Oklahoma 13-6 | ↑ | Indiana 15-5 | |||
| 15 | Winthrop 14-7 | South Dakota State 15-8 | Murray State 15-5 | Little Rock 14-7 | ||||
| 2 | Seton Hall 15-4 | Florida State 17-2 | Duke 16-3 | West Virginia 16-3 | ||||
These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY. If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me. Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess. Thanks and enjoy.
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