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Well folks, here it is, and before December too!!! Very much a work in progress, still too many games left to play, but this is what I got right now. Another coming in a few weeks.

PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game.  Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences.

DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its NET in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..

The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.

Last updated 11/29/2021 04:36 PM Central Time 

Seed

Seed East - Philadelphia  Midwest - Chicago  South - San Antonio West - San Francisco 
1 Duke   Purdue   UCLA   Gonzaga  
2 Villanova   Texas   Baylor   Arkansas  
3 Kansas   Kentucky   Florida   Arizona  
4 Alabama   Ohio St   Wisconsin   Memphis  
5 Michigan St   Seton Hall   Connecticut   BYU  
6 USC   Michigan   Houston   LSU  
7 Iowa St   Auburn   Illinois   Texas Tech  
8 Xavier   Virginia Tech   Tennessee   Florida St  
9 Iowa   Marquette   North Carolina   Indiana  
10 Cincinnati   Providence   St Bonaventure   Colorado St  
11 San Francisco/Maryland Oklahoma/Virginia   Oregon   Louisville  
12 Belmont   UAB   Loyola-Chicago   UC Irvine  
13 Iona   Furman   Ohio   South Dakota St  
14 New Mexico St   Navy   Vermont   Weber St  
15 Wagner   Oakland   South Alabama   James Madison  
16 Campbell/Nichols St   Cornell   Lipscomb   Howard/Southern  
Last 4 in - San Francisco, Virginia, Maryland, Oklahoma  
First 4 out - St Mary's, San Diego St, Clemson, Wichita St  
Next 4 out -  Notre Dame, Minnesota, Utah St, West Virginia      
Moving In - Coming Feb 2022  
Moving out - Coming Feb 2022  
Others considered for at-large bids - UCF, St Louis, Ole Miss, Georgia Tech, Temple, Tulsa, Wake Forest, Davidson, Syracuse, Dayton, Drake, Miami, SMU, Creighton, Rhode Island, Butler, DePaul, Boise St, Texas A&M, St Johns, Fresno St, Nebraska, Northwestern, Penn St, Rutgers, Santa Clara, Kansas St, TCU, NC St, Nevada, Colorado, Stanford, Utah, Washington St, Georgia, Mississippi St, Missouri, South Carolina, Wyoming, Vanderbilt, Georgetown, Richmond, Stanford, VCU    
On Life Support (but probably dead) - Coming Feb 2022      
No longer considered for at-large bid (must win conf tourney) - Coming Feb 2022      
Multi bid conferences -  Big 10 (9),  SEC (7), ACC (6), Big 12 (6), Big East (6), PAC 12 (4), AAC (3), WCC (3)      
Leaders or highest NET from projected 1-bid conferences - (23 total): A10 - St Bonaventure, America East - Vermont, Atlantic Sun - Lipscomb, Big Sky - Weber St, Big South - Campbell, Big West - UC Irvine, CAA - James Madison, C-USA - UAB, Horizon - Oakland, Ivy League - Cornell, MAAC - Iona, MAC - Buffalo, MEAC - Howard., Missouri Valley - Loyola-Chicago, MWC - Colorado St, Northeast - Wagner, OVC - Belmont, Patriot - Navy, Southern - Furman, Southland - Nichols St, SWAC - Southern, Summit - South Dakota St, Sun Belt - South Alabama, WAC - New Mexico St    
Banned from participating - Oklahoma St  
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - Cal Baptist, North Alabama, Merrimack, Dixie State, Tarleton State, Bellarmine, UC San Diego, St Thomas      
COVID-19 -       

True Seed List

Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team
1 1 Duke 5 17 Michigan St 9 33 Indiana 13 51 Ohio
2 Gonzaga 18 Seton Hall 34 North Carolina 52 South Dakota St
3 Purdue 19 BYU 35 Marquette 53 Iona
4 UCLA 20 Connecticut 36 Iowa 54 Furman
2 5 Baylor 6 21 Houston 10 37 Colorado St 14 55 New Mexico St
6 Villanova 22 Michigan 38 Providence 56 Weber St
7 Texas 23 LSU 39 St Bonaventure 57 Vermont
8 Arkansas 24 USC 40 Cincinnati 58 Navy
3 9 Kentucky 7 25 Auburn 11 41 Oregon 15 59 Oakland
10 Kansas 26 Iowa St 42 Louisville 60 South Alabama
11 Florida 27 Illinois 43 San Francisco 61 Wagner
12 Arizona 28 Texas Tech 44 Virginia 62 James Madison
4 13 Wisconsin 8 29 Xavier 45 Maryland 16 63 Lipscomb
14 Alabama 30 Tennessee 46 Oklahoma 64 Cornell
15 Ohio St 31 Florida St 12 47 Loyola-Chicago 65 Campbell
16 Memphis 32 Virgina Tech 48 UAB 66 Nichols St
          49 Belmont 67 Howard
          50 UC Irvine 68 Southern
          1st 4 out 1 St Marys Next 4 5 Notre Dame
          2 San Diego St 6 Minnesota
          3 Clemson 7 Utah St
          4 Wichita St 8 West Virginia

Bracket

East - Philadelphia    South - San Antonio 
Greenville   San Diego
1 Duke     1 UCLA  
16 Campbell/Nichols St     16 Lipscomb  
8 Xavier     8 Tennessee  
9 Iowa     9 North Carolina  
Buffalo     Pittaburgh
5 Michigan St     5 Connecticut  
12 Belmont     12 Loyola-Chicago  
13 Iona     13 Ohio  
4 Alabama     4 Wisconsin  
Milwaukee   Greenville
3 Kansas     3 Florida  
14 New Mexico St     14 Vermont  
6 USC     6 Houston  
11 San Francisco/Maryland     11 Oregon  
Pittsburgh   Ft Worth
10 Cincinnati     10 St Bonaventure  
7 Iowa St     7 Illinois  
15 Wagner     15 South Alabama  
2 Villanova     2 Baylor  
             
Midwest - Chicago    West - San Francisco 
Milwaukee   Portland
1 Purdue     1 Gonzaga  
16 Cornell     16 Howard/Southern  
8 Virginia Tech     8 Florida St  
9 Marquette     9 Indiana  
Buffalo   Portland 
5 Seton Hall     5 BYU  
12 UAB     12 UC Irvine  
13 Furman     13 South Dakota St  
4 Ohio St     4 Memphis  
Indianapolis   San Diego
3 Kentucky     3 Arizona  
14 Navy     14 Weber St  
6 Michigan     6 LSU  
11 Oklahoma/Virginia     11 Louisville  
Indianapolis   Ft Worth
10 Providence     10 Colorado St  
7 Auburn     7 Texas Tech  
15 Oakland     15 James Madison  
2 Texas     2 Arkansas  
Match-ups
Seed East - Philadelphia  Midwest - Chicago  South - San Antonio West - San Francisco 
1 Duke   Purdue   UCLA   Gonzaga  
16 Campbell/Nichols St   Cornell   Lipscomb   Howard/Southern  
8 Xavier   Virginia Tech   Tennessee   Florida St  
9 Iowa   Marquette   North Carolina   Indiana  
12 Belmont   UAB   Loyola-Chicago   UC Irvine  
5 Michigan St   Seton Hall   Connecticut   BYU  
13 Iona   Furman   Ohio   South Dakota St  
4 Alabama   Ohio St   Wisconsin   Memphis  
3 Kansas   Kentucky   Florida   Arizona  
14 New Mexico St   Navy   Vermont   Weber St  
6 USC   Michigan   Houston   LSU  
11 San Francisco/Maryland   Oklahoma/Virginia   Oregon   Louisville  
10 Cincinnati   Providence   St Bonaventure   Colorado St  
7 Iowa St   Auburn   Illinois   Texas Tech  
15 Wagner   Oakland   South Alabama   James Madison  
2 Villanova   Texas   Baylor   Arkansas  

These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.  If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me.  Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess.  Thanks and enjoy.

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