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It's time for an update, so here you go. It's still way too early for this to make much sense, but it sure helps me get some work in. Don't fret if your team is seeded too low right now, everything works itself out come March.

PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game.  Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences.

DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its NET in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..

The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.

Last updated 11/25/2023 10:14 PM Central Time 

Seeds

Seed East - Boston Midwest - Detroit South - Dallas West - Los Angeles
1 UConn   Purdue   Marquette   Arizona  
2 Duke   Houston   Kansas   Baylor  
3 Texas   Kentucky   Miami   Tennessee  
4 Alabama   Gonzaga   Mississippi St   Ohio St  
5 Creighton   Texas A&M   Michigan St   Clemson  
6 UCLA   Colorado   FAU   Illinois  
7 Auburn   UNC   USC   Villanova  
8 Colorado St   Santa Clara   TCU   San Diego St  
9 James Madison   Memphis   Oregon   BYU  
10 Oklahoma   Arkansas   Virginia   Virginia Tech  
11 Utah St   Xavier/Iowa   Liberty   Texas Tech  
12 Bradley   Dayton   Missouri/Boise St   Vermont  
13 Kent St   Furman   Princeton   Grand Canyon  
14 UC Irvine   Oral Roberts   Lipscomb   Iona  
15 Cleveland St   Hofstra   Montana St   Colgate  
16 Longwood   PV A&M/Sacred Heart   Tennessee St   Howard/Nicholls  
Last 4 in - Xavier, Iowa, Missouri, Boise St  
First 4 out - Kansas St, Ole Miss, Providence, Indiana  
Next 4 out - Florida. Northwestern, Florida St, Rutgers      
Moving in - Coming 2024  
Moving out - Coming 2024  
Others considered for at-large bids - North Texas, Temple, Tulsa, UAB, Wichita St, Davidson, George Mason, LaSalle, Richmond, St Louis, St Bonaventure, VCU, Boston College, Georgia Tech, Louisville, NC St, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Wake Forest, Butler, DePaul, Georgetown, Seton Hall, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, Penn St, Cincinnati, Oklahoma St, UCF, West Virginia, Western Kentucky, Belmont, Drake, Missouri St, Murray St, Northern Iowa, Southern Illinois, Georgia, LSU, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Colorado St, Nevada, UNLV, New Mexico, Wyoming, Arizona St, California, Oregon St, Stanford, Utah, Washington, Washington St, Maryland, St Mary's, Wisconsin, SMU, Iowa St, St Johns    
On Life Support (but probably dead) - Coming 2024      
No longer considered for at-large bid (must win conf tourney) - Coming 2024      
Multi bid conferences -  Big 12 (8), SEC (8), ACC (6), Big East (5), PAC 12 (5), Big 10 (5), MWC (4), AAC (2), WCC (2)      
Leaders or highest NET from projected 1-bid conferences - (23 total):  America East - Vermont, Atlantic Sun - Lipscomb, A10 - Dayton, Big Sky - Montana St, Big South - Longwood, Big West - UC Irvine, CAA - Hofstra, C-USA - Liberty, Horizon - Cleveland St. Ivy League - Princeton, MAAC - Iona, MAC - Kent St, MEAC - Howard, Missouri Valley - Bradley, Northeast - Sacred Heart, OVC - Tennessee St, Patriot - Colgate, Southern - Furman, Southland - Nicholls, SWAC - Prairie View A&M, Summit - Oral Roberts, Sun Belt - James Madison, WAC - Grand Canyon    
Banned  
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - Tarleton State, Bellarmine, UC San Diego, St Thomas, Lindenwood, Queens, Southern Indiana, Stonehill, TAMU-Commerce, Utah Tech. Le Moyne      
Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament.  
Teams in Black are Virtual LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest NET chosen for now)   
Teams in Red have work left to do or need help  

True Seed List

Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team
1 1 Purdue 5 17 Michigan St 9 33 BYU  13 51 Grand Canyon
2 UConn 18 Texas A&M 34 James Madison 52 Princeton
3 Arizona 19 Creighton 35 Memphis 53 Kent St
4 Marquette 20 Clemson 36 Oregon 54 Furman
2 5 Kansas 6 21 UCLA 10 37 Virginia Tech 14 55 Oral Roberts
6 Houston 22 FAU 38 Oklahoma 56 Iona
7 Baylor 23 Colorado 39 Virginia 57 UC Irvine
8 Duke 24 Illinois 40 Arkansas  58 Lipscomb
3 9 Miami 7 25 Auburn 11 41 Texas Tech 15 59 Hofstra
10 Kentucky 26 USC 42 Utah St 60 Colgate
11 Tennessee 27 Villanova 43 Xavier 61 Cleveland St
12 Texas 28 UNC 44 Iowa  62 Montana St
4 13 Mississippi St 8 29 San Diego St 45 Missouri 16 63 Tennessee St
14 Gonzaga 30 Santa Clara 46 Boise St 64 Longwood
15 Ohio St 31 TCU 12 47 Liberty 65 PV A&M
16 Alabama 32 Colorado St 48 Bradley 66 Sacred Heart
          49 Dayton 67 Nicholls
          50 Vermont 68 Howard
          1st 4 out 1 Kansas St Next 4 5 Florida
          2 Ole Miss 6 Northwestern
          3 Providence 7 Florida St
          4 Indiana 8 Rutgers

Bracket

South- Dallas   Midwest - Detroit
Indianapolis   Indianapolis
1 Marquette     1 Purdue  
16 Tennessee St     16 PV A&M/Sacred Heart  
8 TCU     8 Santa Clara  
9 Oregon     9 Memphis  
New York   Spokane
5 Michigan St     5 Texas A&M  
12 Missouri/Boise St     12 Dayton  
13 Princeton     13 Furman  
4 Mississippi St     4 Gonzaga  
Charlotte   Pittsburgh
3 Miami     3 Kentucky  
14 Lipscomb     14 Oral Roberts  
6 FAU     6 Colorado  
11 Liberty     11 Xavier/Iowa  
Omaha   Memphis
10 Virginia     10 Arkansas  
7 USC     7 UNC  
15 Montana St     15 Hofstra  
2 Kansas     2 Houston  
             
West - Los Angeles   East - Boston
Salt Lake City   New York
1 Arizona     1 UConn  
16 Howard/Nicholls     16 Longwood  
8 San Diego St     8 Colorado St  
9 BYU     9 James Madison  
Salt Lake City   Spokane
5 Clemson     5 Creighton  
12 Vermont     12 Bradley  
13 Grand Canyon     13 Kent St  
4 Ohio St     4 Alabama  
Pittsburgh   Omaha
3 Tennessee     3 Texas  
14 Iona     14 UC Irvine  
6 Illinois     6 UCLA  
11 Texas Tech     11 Utah St  
Memphis   Charlotte
10 Virginia Tech     10 Oklahoma  
7 Villanova     7 Auburn  
15 Colgate     15 Cleveland St  
2 Baylor     2 Duke  

Match-ups
Seed East - Boston Midwest - Detroit South - Dallas West - Los Angeles
1 UConn   Purdue   Marquette   Arizona  
16 Longwood   PV A&M/Sacred Heart   Tennessee St   Howard/Nicholls  
8 Colorado St   Santa Clara   TCU   San Diego St  
9 James Madison   Memphis   Oregon   BYU  
12 Bradley   Dayton   Missouri/Boise St   Vermont  
5 Creighton   Texas A&M   Michigan St   Clemson  
13 Kent St   Furman   Princeton   Grand Canyon  
4 Alabama   Gonzaga   Mississippi St   Ohio St  
3 Texas   Kentucky   Miami   Tennessee  
14 UC Irvine   Oral Roberts   Lipscomb   Iona  
6 UCLA   Colorado   FAU   Illinois  
11 Utah St   Xavier/Iowa   Liberty   Texas Tech  
10 Oklahoma   Arkansas   Virginia   Virginia Tech  
7 Auburn   UNC   USC   Villanova  
15 Cleveland St   Hofstra   Montana St   Colgate  
2 Duke   Houston   Kansas   Baylor  

These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.  If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me.  Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess.  Thanks and enjoy.



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