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One of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ year experience. 98% accuracy rate since 2005 Inaugural Super10 Mock Selection Committee member sponsored by the NCAA and Turner Sports. Follow me on twitter, join my facebook group, or like my facebook page.. UPDATED DAILY starting in January!!!! If this looks old, hit refresh! Official Bracketologist for
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I have to give a shout out to the best moving company I've come across - helped me immensely! Moving? Click and HIRE THEM NOW!!
R.I.P. to Baylor's undefeated season, only Gonzaga remains unblemished. Yesterday was a fun day, lots of bubble impact games, OT games, and teams jockeying for position. 2 weeks from today is Christmas - who's going to open gifts and get good stuff, who's getting coal (Minnesota)? Lots of action til then.
PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game. Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences.
DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its NET in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..
The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.
Last updated 02/28/2021 07:42 AM Central Time
Seed
| Seed | East - Indianapolis | Midwest - Indianapolis | South - Indianapolis | West - Indianapolis | ||||
| 1 | Ohio St 18-6 | Michigan 18-1 | Baylor 18-1 | Gonzaga 24-0 | ||||
| 2 | Alabama 19-6 | Villanova 15-3 | Illinois 18-6 | West Virginia 17-6 | ||||
| 3 | Florida St 14-4 | Kansas 18-8 | ↑ | Houston 19-3 | Iowa 17-7 | |||
| 4 | Texas 14-7 | Oklahoma 14-7 | ↓ | Arkansas 19-5 | Oklahoma St 16-6 | ↑ | ||
| 5 | Virginia 15-6 | Purdue 16-8 | Texas Tech 15-8 | USC 19-6 | ↓ | |||
| 6 | Tennessee 16-7 | Clemson 15-5 | Virginia Tech 15-5 | Missouri 14-7 | ||||
| 7 | BYU 19-5 | ↑ | Florida 13-6 | Creighton 17-6 | Wisconsin 16-9 | |||
| 8 | Colorado 19-7 | UCLA 17-6 | ↓ | Rutgers 13-9 | San Diego St 19-4 | ↑ | ||
| 9 | North Carolina 15-8 | ↑ | LSU 15-7 | Boise St 18-6 | Loyola-Chicago 21-4 | ↓ | ||
| 10 | Xavier 13-5 | ↑ | Oregon 16-5 | Louisville 13-5 | Wichita St 13-4 | |||
| 11 | St Bonaventure 13-3 | Colorado St 15-4 | Maryland 14-10 | Drake 24-3 | ↓ | |||
| 12 | W. Kentucky 15-5 | Seton Hall 13-10/VCU 17-6 | Connecticut 12-6/Georgia Tech 13-8 | ↑ | Toledo 19-6 | |||
| 13 | UCSB 17-4 | UNCG 18-8 | Belmont 24-3 | Winthrop 20-1 | ||||
| 14 | Grand Canyon 14-5 | Liberty 20-5 | Navy 14-2 | Wright St 18-5 | ||||
| 15 | Texas State 18-6 | Siena 11-3 | UMBC 14-5 | Abilene Christian 19-4 | ||||
| 16 | BYU 19-5 | E Wash. 12-6 | South Dakota 13-9/Bryant 14-5 | Norfolk St 13-7/Prairie View A&M 11-4 | ||||
| Last 4 in -Seton Hall, VCU. Georgia Tech, Connecticut | ||||||||
| First 4 out/Stand By teams - Michigan St., Duke, St Johns, SMU | ||||||||
| Next 4 out - Indiana, Syracuse, Memphis, Stanford | ||||||||
| Moving In - Connecticut | ||||||||
| Moving out - Duke | ||||||||
| Others considered for at-large bids - Utah St, Minnesota, Richmond, St Louis | ||||||||
| On Life Support (but probably dead) - Marquette, Providence, Marshall, NC State, Dayton, Pittsburgh, UAB, Georgia, Ole Miss | ||||||||
| No longer considered for at-large bid (must win conf tourney) - Wake Forest, Miami, Notre Dame, Boston College, Tulsa, Cincinnati, Temple, Rhode Island, Kansas St, Iowa St, Georgetown, Butler, Nebraska, Northwestern, Depaul, Buffalo, UCF, S. Illinois, Bradley, California, Washington, Washington State, Vanderbilt, TCU, Utah, Arizona St, Oregon St, Mississippi St, Kentucky, South Carolina, Texas A&M, St Mary's, San Francisco, Davidson, Nevada, Penn St, | ||||||||
| Multi bid conferences - Big 10 (8), ACC (7), Big 12 (7), SEC (6), Big East (5), PAC 12 (4), MWC (3), A10 (2), AAC (2), MVC (2), WCC (2) | ||||||||
| Leaders or highest NET from projected 1-bid conferences - (20 total): America East - UMBC, Atlantic Sun - Liberty, Big Sky - Eastern Washington, Big South - Winthrop, Big West - UCSB, CAA - James Madison, C-USA - Western Kentucky, Horizon - Wright State, MAAC - Siena, MAC - Toledo, MEAC - Norfolk St., Northeast - Bryant, OVC - Belmont, Patriot - Navy, Southern - UNCG, Southland - Abilene Christian, SWAC - Prairie View A&M, Summit - South Dakota, Sun Belt - Texas State, WAC - Grand Canyon | ||||||||
| Banned from participating - Alabama St., Alabama A&M, Delaware St, Auburn, Arizona | ||||||||
| Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - Cal Baptist, North Alabama, Merrimack, Dixie State, Tarleton State, Bellarmine, UC San Diego | ||||||||
| COVID-19 - Ivy League, Bethune-Cookman, Maryland-Eastern Shore, Howard, Maine | ||||||||
| Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament. | ||||||||
| Teams in Black are Virtual LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest NET chosen for now) | ||||||||
| Teams in Red have work left to do or need help | ||||||||
True Seed List
| Seed Line | Overall Seed | Team | Seed Line | Overall Seed | Team | Seed Line | Overall Seed | Team | Seed Line | Overall Seed | Team |
| 1 | 1 | Gonzaga | 5 | 17 | Texas Tech | 9 | 33 | Loyola-Chicago | 13 | 51 | Winthrop |
| 2 | Baylor | 18 | USC | 34 | North Carolina | 52 | Belmont | ||||
| 3 | Michigan | 19 | Purdue | 35 | Boise State | 53 | UNCG | ||||
| 4 | Ohio State | 20 | Virginia | 36 | LSU | 54 | UCSB | ||||
| 2 | 5 | Alabama | 6 | 21 | Tennessee | 10 | 37 | Oregon | 14 | 55 | Grand Canyon |
| 6 | Illinois | 22 | Virginia Tech | 38 | Louisville | 56 | Liberty | ||||
| 7 | Villanova | 23 | Clemson | 39 | tXavier | 57 | Navy | ||||
| 8 | West Virginia | 24 | Missouri | 40 | Wichita S | 58 | Wright State | ||||
| 3 | 9 | Iowa | 7 | 25 | Florida | 11 | 41 | Maryland | 15 | 59 | Abilene Christian |
| 10 | Houston | 26 | Creighton | 42 | Colorado State | 60 | UMBC | ||||
| 11 | Kansas | 27 | Wisconsin | 43 | Drake | 61 | Siena | ||||
| 12 | Florida State | 28 | BYU | 44 | St. Bonaventure | 62 | Texas State | ||||
| 4 | 13 | Arkansas | 8 | 29 | Colorado | 12 | 45 | Seton Hall | 16 | 63 | James Madison |
| 14 | Oklahoma | 30 | UCLA | 46 | VCU | 64 | Eastern Washington | ||||
| 15 | Texas | 31 | San Diego State | 47 | Georgia Tech | 65 | South Dakota | ||||
| 16 | Oklahoma St | 32 | Rutgers | 48 | Connecticut | 66 | Bryant | ||||
| 49 | W. Kentucky | 67 | Norfolk St | ||||||||
| 50 | Toledo | 68 | Prairie View A&M | ||||||||
| 1st 4 out | 1 | Michigan State | Next 4 | 5 | Indiana | ||||||
| 2 | Duke | 6 | Syracuse | ||||||||
| 3 | St Johns | 7 | Memphis | ||||||||
| 4 | SMU | 8 | Stanford |
Bracket
| Midwest - Indianapolis | West - Indianapolis | |||||
| Indianapolis | Indianapolis | |||||
| 1 | Michigan 18-1 | 1 | Gonzaga 24-0 | |||
| 16 | E Wash. 12-6 | 16 | Norfolk St 13-7/Prairie View A&M 11-4 | |||
| 8 | UCLA 17-6 | ↓ | 8 | San Diego St 19-4 | ↑ | |
| 9 | LSU 15-7 | 9 | Loyola-Chicago 21-4 | ↓ | ||
| Indianapolis | Indianapolis | |||||
| 5 | Purdue 16-8 | 5 | USC 19-6 | ↓ | ||
| 12 | Seton Hall 13-10/VCU 17-6 | 12 | Toledo 19-6 | |||
| 13 | UNCG 18-8 | 13 | Winthrop 20-1 | |||
| 4 | Oklahoma 14-7 | ↓ | 4 | Oklahoma St 16-6 | ↑ | |
| Indianapolis | Indianapolis | |||||
| 3 | Kansas 18-8 | ↑ | 3 | Iowa 17-7 | ||
| 14 | Liberty 20-5 | 14 | Wright St 18-5 | |||
| 6 | Clemson 15-5 | 6 | Missouri 14-7 | |||
| 11 | Colorado St 15-4 | 11 | Drake 24-3 | ↓ | ||
| Indianapolis | Indianapolis | |||||
| 10 | Oregon 16-5 | 10 | Wichita St 13-4 | |||
| 7 | Florida 13-6 | 7 | Wisconsin 16-9 | |||
| 15 | Siena 11-3 | 15 | Abilene Christian 19-4 | |||
| 2 | Villanova 15-3 | 2 | West Virginia 17-6 | |||
| East - Indianapolis | South - Indianapolis | |||||
| Indianapolis | Indianapolis | |||||
| 1 | Ohio St 18-6 | 1 | Baylor 18-1 | |||
| 16 | BYU 19-5 | 16 | South Dakota 13-9/Bryant 14-5 | |||
| 8 | Colorado 19-7 | 8 | Rutgers 13-9 | |||
| 9 | North Carolina 15-8 | ↑ | 9 | Boise St 18-6 | ||
| Indianapolis | Indianapolis | |||||
| 5 | Virginia 15-6 | 5 | Texas Tech 15-8 | |||
| 12 | W. Kentucky 15-5 | 12 | Connecticut 12-6/Georgia Tech 13-8 | ↑ | ||
| 13 | UCSB 17-4 | 13 | Belmont 24-3 | |||
| 4 | Texas 14-7 | 4 | Arkansas 19-5 | |||
| Indianapolis | Indianapolis | |||||
| 3 | Florida St 14-4 | 3 | Houston 19-3 | |||
| 14 | Grand Canyon 14-5 | 14 | Navy 14-2 | |||
| 6 | Tennessee 16-7 | 6 | Virginia Tech 15-5 | |||
| 11 | St Bonaventure 13-3 | 11 | Maryland 14-10 | |||
| Indianapolis | Indianapolis | |||||
| 10 | Xavier 13-5 | ↑ | 10 | Louisville 13-5 | ||
| 7 | BYU 19-5 | ↑ | 7 | Creighton 17-6 | ||
| 15 | Texas State 18-6 | 15 | UMBC 14-5 | |||
| 2 | Alabama 19-6 | 2 | Illinois 18-6 | |||
| Seed | East - Indianapolis | Midwest - Indianapolis | South - Indianapolis | West - Indianapolis | ||||
| 1 | Ohio St 18-6 | Michigan 18-1 | Baylor 18-1 | Gonzaga 24-0 | ||||
| 16 | BYU 19-5 | E Wash. 12-6 | South Dakota 13-9/Bryant 14-5 | Norfolk St 13-7/Prairie View A&M 11-4 | ||||
| 8 | Colorado 19-7 | UCLA 17-6 | ↓ | Rutgers 13-9 | San Diego St 19-4 | ↑ | ||
| 9 | North Carolina 15-8 | ↑ | LSU 15-7 | Boise St 18-6 | Loyola-Chicago 21-4 | ↓ | ||
| 12 | W. Kentucky 15-5 | Seton Hall 13-10/VCU 17-6 | Connecticut 12-6/Georgia Tech 13-8 | ↑ | Toledo 19-6 | |||
| 5 | Virginia 15-6 | Purdue 16-8 | Texas Tech 15-8 | USC 19-6 | ↓ | |||
| 13 | UCSB 17-4 | UNCG 18-8 | Belmont 24-3 | Winthrop 20-1 | ||||
| 4 | Texas 14-7 | Oklahoma 14-7 | ↓ | Arkansas 19-5 | Oklahoma St 16-6 | ↑ | ||
| 3 | Florida St 14-4 | Kansas 18-8 | ↑ | Houston 19-3 | Iowa 17-7 | |||
| 14 | Grand Canyon 14-5 | Liberty 20-5 | Navy 14-2 | Wright St 18-5 | ||||
| 6 | Tennessee 16-7 | Clemson 15-5 | Virginia Tech 15-5 | Missouri 14-7 | ||||
| 11 | St Bonaventure 13-3 | Colorado St 15-4 | Maryland 14-10 | Drake 24-3 | ↓ | |||
| 10 | Xavier 13-5 | ↑ | Oregon 16-5 | Louisville 13-5 | Wichita St 13-4 | |||
| 7 | BYU 19-5 | ↑ | Florida 13-6 | Creighton 17-6 | Wisconsin 16-9 | |||
| 15 | Texas State 18-6 | Siena 11-3 | UMBC 14-5 | Abilene Christian 19-4 | ||||
| 2 | Alabama 19-6 | Villanova 15-3 | Illinois 18-6 | West Virginia 17-6 | ||||
These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY. If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me. Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess. Thanks and enjoy.
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