One of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ year experience. 98% accuracy rate since 2005

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Official Bracketologist for

USA Today Sports
                                                                                                         

Here's the bracket I turned in to USA Today for their preseason preview. It's legit, just like preseason rankings are. The season is closer than you think.

PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game.  Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences.

DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its NET in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..

The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.

Last updated 10/03/2021 06:27 PM Central Time 

Seed

Seed East - Philadelphia  Midwest - Chicago  South - San Antonio West - San Francisco 
1 Alabama   Texas   UCLA   Gonzaga  
2 Maryland   Michigan   Kansas   Baylor  
3 Villanova   Duke   Memphis   Oregon  
4 Florida St   Kentucky   Illinois   Ohio St  
5 Purdue   Michigan St   North Carolina   West Virginia  
6 Virginia   St Bonaventure   UConn   Houston  
7 Auburn   Syracuse   LSU   Arizona  
8 Virginia Tech   Arkansas   Tennessee   USC  
9 Iowa   Louisville   Wichita St   Colorado St  
10 Georgetown   Oklahoma St   Georgia Tech   Florida  
11 Wisconsin   Oklahoma/Oregon St   Indiana/Richmond   San Diego St  
12 Belmont   UAB   Drake   Liberty  
13 Buffalo   Vermont   Furman   UC Irvine  
14 Iona   Winthrop   Oral Roberts   Grand Canyon  
15 Wright St   Colgate   Harvard   Little Rock  
16 Howard/Texas St   Bryant/Nichols   Hofstra   Montana  
Last 4 in - Oklahoma, Oregon St, Indiana, Richmond  
First 4 out - VCU. Loyola-Chicago, Boise St, Xavier  
Next 4 out -  Stanford, BYU,  Missouri St, Mississippi      
Moving In - Coming Feb 2022  
Moving out - Coming Feb 2022  
Others considered for at-large bids - Creighton, Texas Tech, Cincinnati, SMU, Temple, Tulsa, UCF, Davidson, Dayton, St Louis, Duquesne, Clemson, Miami, NC State, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Wake Forest, Butler, DePaul, Providence, Seton Hall, St Johns, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern, Penn St, Rutgers, Iowa St, Kansas St, TCU, UTEP, W Kentucky, N Iowa, Illinois St, Nevada, Utah St, Arizona St, Colorado, Utah, Washington, Washington St, Georgia, Mississippi St, Missouri, South Carolina, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt, Loyola Marymount, St Marys, Marquette    
On Life Support (but probably dead) - Coming Feb 2022      
No longer considered for at-large bid (must win conf tourney) - Coming Feb 2022      
Multi bid conferences -  Big 10 (9), ACC (8), SEC (7), Big 12 (6), PAC 12 (5), AAC (3), Big East (3), A10 (2), MWC (2)      
Leaders or highest NET from projected 1-bid conferences - (23 total): America East - Vermont, Atlantic Sun - Liberty, Big Sky - Montana, Big South - Winthrop, Big West - UC Irvine, CAA - Hofstra, C-USA - UAB, Horizon - Wright State, Ivy League - Harvard, MAAC - Iona, MAC - Buffalo, MEAC - Howard., Missouri Valley - Drake, Northeast - Bryant, OVC - Belmont, Patriot - Colgate, Southern - Furman, Southland - Nichols, SWAC - Texas Southern, Summit - Oral Roberts, Sun Belt - Little Rock, WAC - Grand Canyon, WCC - Gonzaga    
Banned from participating -   
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - Cal Baptist, North Alabama, Merrimack, Dixie State, Tarleton State, Bellarmine, UC San Diego, St Thomas      
COVID-19 -       
Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament.  
Teams in Black are Virtual LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest NET chosen for now)   
Teams in Red have work left to do or need help  

True Seed List

Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team
1 1 Gonzaga 5 17 North Carolina 9 33 Louisville 13 51 UC Irvine
2 UCLA 18 Michigan St 34 Iowa 52 Buffalo
3 Texas 19 West Virginia 35 Colorado St 53 Vermont
4 Alabama 20 Purdue 36 Wichita St 54 Furman
2 5 Kansas 6 21 Virginia 10 37 Florida 14 55 Winthrop
6 Michigan 22 Houston 38 Georgetown 56 Iona
7 Maryland 23 Connecticut 39 Georgia Tech 57 Oral Roberts
8 Baylor 24 St Bonavanture 40 Oklahoma St 58 Grand Canyon
3 9 Villanova 7 25 Arizona 11 41 San Diego St 15 59 Wright St
10 Duke 26 LSU 42 Wisconsin 60 Colgate
11 Memphis 27 Auburn 43 Oregon St 61 Harvard
12 Oregon 28 Syracuse 44 Oklahoma 62 Little Rock
4 13 Florida St 8 29 Virgina Tech 45 Indiana 16 63 Montana
14 Illinois 30 Arkansas 46 Richmond 64 Hofstra
15 Kentucky 31 USC 12 47 Drake 65 Bryant
16 Ohio St 32 Tennessee 48 Belmont 66 Nichols
          49 UAB 67 Howard
          50 Liberty 68 Texas Southern
          1st 4 out 1 VCU Next 4 5 Stanford
          2 Loyola-Chicago 6 Marquette
          3 Boise St 7 Missouri St
          4 Xavier 8 Mississippi

Bracket

East - Philadelphia    West - San Francisco 
Greenville   Portland
1 Alabama     1 Gonzaga  
16 Howard/Texas St     16 Montana  
8 Virginia Tech     8 USC  
9 Iowa     9 Colorado St  
 Pittaburgh   San Diego
5 Purdue     5 West Virginia  
12 Belmont     12 Liberty  
13 Buffalo     13 UC Irvine  
4 Florida St     4 Ohio St  
Buffalo    Portland 
3 Villanova     3 Oregon  
14 Iona     14 Grand Canyon  
6 Virginia     6 Houston  
11 Wisconsin     11 San Diego St  
Pittsburgh   Ft Worth
10 Georgetown     10 Florida  
7 Auburn     7 Arizona  
15 Wright St     15 Little Rock  
2 Maryland     2 Baylor  
             
Midwest - Chicago    South - San Antonio 
Ft Worth   San Diego
1 Texas     1 UCLA  
16 Bryant/Nichols     16 Hofstra  
8 Arkansas     8 Tennessee  
9 Louisville     9 Wichita St  
Buffalo   Milwaukee
5 Michigan St     5 North Carolina  
12 UAB     12 Drake  
13 Vermont     13 Furman  
4 Kentucky     4 Illinois  
Greenville   Indianapolis
3 Duke     3 Memphis  
14 Winthrop     14 Oral Roberts  
6 St Bonaventure     6 UConn  
11 Oklahoma/Oregon St     11 Indiana/Richmond  
Milwaukee   Indianapolis 
10 Oklahoma St     10 Georgia Tech  
7 Syracuse     7 LSU  
15 Colgate     15 Harvard  
2 Michigan     2 Kansas  
Match-ups
Seed East - Philadelphia  Midwest - Chicago  South - San Antonio West - San Francisco 
1 Alabama   Texas   UCLA   Gonzaga  
16 Howard/Texas St   Bryant/Nichols   Hofstra   Montana  
8 Virginia Tech   Arkansas   Tennessee   USC  
9 Iowa   Louisville   Wichita St   Colorado St  
12 Belmont   UAB   Drake   Liberty  
5 Purdue   Michigan St   North Carolina   West Virginia  
13 Buffalo   Vermont   Furman   UC Irvine  
4 Florida St   Kentucky   Illinois   Ohio St  
3 Villanova   Duke   Memphis   Oregon  
14 Iona   Winthrop   Oral Roberts   Grand Canyon  
6 Virginia   St Bonaventure   UConn   Houston  
11 Wisconsin   Oklahoma/Oregon St   Indiana/Richmond   San Diego St  
10 Georgetown   Oklahoma St   Georgia Tech   Florida  
7 Auburn   Syracuse   LSU   Arizona  
15 Wright St   Colgate   Harvard   Little Rock  
2 Maryland   Michigan   Kansas   Baylor  

These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.  If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me.  Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess.  Thanks and enjoy.

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