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Here is my Jan 26 bracket. 45 days til Selection Sunday - are you ready. Tonight we mostly according to how it should. Xavier topped UConn on the road and they look like the team to beat in the Big East.

PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game.  Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences.

DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its NET in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..

The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.

Last updated 01/26/2023 12:04 AM Central Time 

Seeds

Seed East -  New York Midwest -  Kansas City South - Louisville West -  Las Vegas
1 Purdue 19-1   Kansas St 17-3   Alabama 18-2   Tennessee 17-3  
2 Kansas 16-4   Arizona 17-3   Houston 19-2   UCLA 17-3  
3 Xavier 17-4 ↑ Texas 17-3   Iowa St 15-4   Gonzaga 17-4  
4 Baylor 15-5   Virginia 15-3 ↓ Marquette 16-5   TCU 16-4  
5 Rutgers 14-6 ↑ UConn 16-6   Miami 16-4   Providence 16-5  
6 Auburn 16-4 ↓ San Diego St 16-4   Duke 14-6   North Carolina 15-6  
7 Michigan St 13-7   NC State 16-5   New Mexico 18-3   St Marys 18-4  
8 Clemson 17-4   Arkansas 14-6   Indiana 14-6 ↑ Boise St 16-5  
9 Nevada 16-5   Arizona St 15-5   Memphis 15-5 ↓ FAU 19-1  
10 Missouri 15-5   Illinois 14-6   USC 14-6   Northwestern 14-5  
11 Charleston 21-1   Iowa 12-7   Maryland 13-7 ↑ Kentucky 14-6/Wisconsin 12-7 ↓
12 Pittsburgh 14-7/Creighton 12-8   VCU 16-5   Oral Roberts 17-4   Kent St 16-4  
13 S. Illinois 17-5   Iona 13-6   Marshall 17-4   Sam Houston St 15-5  
14 Liberty 16-5   UMass-Lowell 17-5   Princeton 14-5   UC Irvine 13-6  
15 Colgate 15-7   E Wash 14-7   SIUE 14-7   Furman 16-6  
16 Nicholls 10-9/Milwaukee 14-6   Longwood 15-6   MD East Shore 11-8/FDU 12-10   Grambling St 12-7  
Last 4 in - Maryland, Creighton, Kentucky, Pittsburgh  
First 4 out -  Texas A&M, West Virginia, Wake Forest, Utah St  
Next 4 out -  Oklahoma, Utah, Penn St, Oklahoma St      
Moving in -   
Moving out -   
Others considered for at-large bids - LSU, Syracuse, Butler, Nebraska, Georgia, Ole Miss, Vanderbilt, Washington, St Louis, San Francisco, Bradley, Seton Hall, Oregon, Ohio St, Villanova, UCF, North Texas, Florida, Santa Clara, St Johns. Michigan, Virginia Tech, BYU, UAB, Drake, Cincinnati, Texas Tech, UNLV, S Miss, Dayton, Mississippi St    
On Life Support (but probably dead) -coming Feb 2023      
No longer considered for at-large bid (must win conf tourney) - DePaul, Georgia Tech, Fordham, Notre Dame, Charlotte, Duquesne      
Multi bid conferences -  Big 10 (9), ACC (7), Big 12 (6), SEC (6),  Big East (5), MWC (4), PAC 12 (4),  AAC (2), WCC (2)      
Leaders or highest NET from projected 1-bid conferences - (23 total):  America East - UMass-Lowell, Atlantic Sun - Liberty, A10 - VCU, Big Sky - Eastern Washington, Big South - Longwood, Big West - UC Irvine, CAA - Charleston, C-USA - FAU, Horizon - Milwaukee, Ivy League - Princeton, MAAC - Iona, MAC - Kent St, MEAC - Maryland Eastern Shore, Missouri Valley - S. Illinois, Northeast - Fairleigh Dickinson, OVC - SIUE, Patriot - Colgate, Southern - Furman, Southland - Nicholls, SWAC - Grambling St, Summit - Oral Roberts, Sun Belt - Marshall, WAC - Sam Houston St    
Banned -   
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - Merrimack, Dixie State, Tarleton State, Bellarmine, UC San Diego, St Thomas, Lindenwood, Queens, Southern Indiana, Stonehill, TAMU-Commerce      
Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament.  
Teams in Black are Virtual LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest NET chosen for now)   
Teams in Red have work left to do or need help  

True Seed List

Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team
1 1 Alabama 5 17 Miami 9 33 Memphis 13 51 Sam Houston St
2 Purdue 18 Providence 34 FAU 52 Marshall
3 Kansas St 19 Connecticut 35 Nevada 53 Southern Illinois
4 Tennessee 20 Rutgers 36 Arizona St 54 Iona
2 5 Arizona 6 21 Auburn 10 37 Missouri 14 55 UC Irvine
6 Kansas 22 San Diego St 38 USC 56 Liberty
7 UCLA 23 North Carolina 39 Northwestern 57 UMass-Lowell
8 Houston 24 Duke 40 Illinois 58 Princeton
3 9 Iowa St 7 25 St Marys 11 41 Maryland 15 59 Furman
10 Texas 26 NC State 42 Iowa 60 Colgate
11 Gonzaga 27 New Mexico 43 Kentucky 61 E Washington
12 Xavier 28 Michigan St 44 Wisconsin 62 SIUE
4 13 Virginia 8 29 Clemson 45 Charleston 16 63 Longwood
14 TCU 30 Boise St 12 46 Creighton 64 Grambling St
15 Baylor 31 Arkansas 47 Pittsburgh 65 Milwaukee
16 Marquette 32 Indiana 48 Kent St 66 Nicholls
          49 VCU 67 MD East Shore
          50 Oral Roberts 68 FDU
          1st 4 out 1 Texas A&M Next 4 5 Oklahoma
          2 West Virginia 6 Utah
          3 Wake Forest 7 Penn St
          4 Utah St 8 Oklahoma St

Bracket

Birmingham   Des Moines
1 Alabama 18-2     1 Kansas St 17-3  
16 MD East Shore 11-8/FDU 12-10     16 Longwood 15-6  
8 Indiana 14-6 ↑   8 Arkansas 14-6  
9 Memphis 15-5 ↓   9 Arizona St 15-5  
Orlando   Albany
5 Miami 16-4     5 UConn 16-6  
12 Oral Roberts 17-4     12 VCU 16-5  
13 Marshall 17-4     13 Iona 13-6  
4 Marquette 16-5     4 Virginia 15-3 ↓
Columbus   Albany
3 Iowa St 15-4     3 Texas 17-3  
14 Princeton 14-5     14 UMass-Lowell 17-5  
6 Duke 14-6     6 San Diego St 16-4  
11 Maryland 13-7 ↑   11 Iowa 12-7  
Denver   Denver
10 USC 14-6     10 Illinois 14-6  
7 New Mexico 18-3     7 NC State 16-5  
15 SIUE 14-7     15 E Wash 14-7  
2 Houston 19-2     2 Arizona 17-3  
             
East - New York   West - Las Vegas
Columbus   Birmingham
1 Purdue 19-1     1 Tennessee 17-3  
16 Nicholls 10-9/Milwaukee 14-6     16 Grambling St 12-7  
8 Clemson 17-4     8 Boise St 16-5  
9 Nevada 16-5     9 FAU 19-1  
Greensboro   Orlando
5 Rutgers 14-6 ↑   5 Providence 16-5  
12 Pittsburgh 14-7/Creighton 12-8     12 Kent St 16-4  
13 S. Illinois 17-5     13 Sam Houston St 15-5  
4 Baylor 15-5     4 TCU 16-4  
Greensboro   Sacramento
3 Xavier 17-4 ↑   3 Gonzaga 17-4  
14 Liberty 16-5     14 UC Irvine 13-6  
6 Auburn 16-4 ↓   6 North Carolina 15-6  
11 Charleston 21-1     11 Kentucky 14-6/Wisconsin 12-7 ↓
Des Moines   Sacramento
10 Missouri 15-5     10 Northwestern 14-5  
7 Michigan St 13-7     7 St Marys 18-4  
15 Colgate 15-7     15 Furman 16-6  
2 Kansas 16-4     2 UCLA 17-3  
Match-ups
Seed East -  New York Midwest -  Kansas City South - Louisville West -  Las Vegas
1 Purdue 19-1   Kansas St 17-3   Alabama 18-2   Tennessee 17-3  
16 Nicholls 10-9/Milwaukee 14-6   Longwood 15-6   MD East Shore 11-8/FDU 12-10   Grambling St 12-7  
8 Clemson 17-4   Arkansas 14-6   Indiana 14-6 ↑ Boise St 16-5  
9 Nevada 16-5   Arizona St 15-5   Memphis 15-5 ↓ FAU 19-1  
12 Pittsburgh 14-7/Creighton 12-8   VCU 16-5   Oral Roberts 17-4   Kent St 16-4  
5 Rutgers 14-6 ↑ UConn 16-6   Miami 16-4   Providence 16-5  
13 S. Illinois 17-5   Iona 13-6   Marshall 17-4   Sam Houston St 15-5  
4 Baylor 15-5   Virginia 15-3 ↓ Marquette 16-5   TCU 16-4  
3 Xavier 17-4 ↑ Texas 17-3   Iowa St 15-4   Gonzaga 17-4  
14 Liberty 16-5   UMass-Lowell 17-5   Princeton 14-5   UC Irvine 13-6  
6 Auburn 16-4 ↓ San Diego St 16-4   Duke 14-6   North Carolina 15-6  
11 Charleston 21-1   Iowa 12-7   Maryland 13-7 ↑ Kentucky 14-6/Wisconsin 12-7 ↓
10 Missouri 15-5   Illinois 14-6   USC 14-6   Northwestern 14-5  
7 Michigan St 13-7   NC State 16-5   New Mexico 18-3   St Marys 18-4  
15 Colgate 15-7   E Wash 14-7   SIUE 14-7   Furman 16-6  
2 Kansas 16-4   Arizona 17-3   Houston 19-2   UCLA 17-3  

These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.  If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me.  Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess.  Thanks and enjoy.

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