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I said Northwestern would fall out with there next loss, and they did.  They still have a shot, plenty of time left, but I can't put in a team with a below 500 record.  In jumps St Bonaventure, The handled VCU and are now 7-1, good enough for me, I know it makes someone very happy, Now can the keep it up?

PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game.  Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences.

DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its NET in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..

The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.

Last updated 01/21/2021 07:15 AM Central Time 

Seed

Seed East - Indianapolis  Midwest - Indianapolis  South - Indianapolis  West - Indianapolis 
1 Villanova 9-1   Michigan 12-1   Baylor 13-0   Gonzaga 14-0  
2 Iowa 12-2   Texas 11-2   Houston 12-1 Virginia 9-2
3 Tennessee 10-2   Creighton 10-4 Wisconsin 11-3   Kansas 10-4
4 West Virginia 9-4   Florida St 8-2   Texas Tech 11-4   Ohio St 11-4  
5 Missouri 9-2   Minnesota 11-4   Virginia Tech 11-2   Alabama 12-3  
6 Illinois 10-5   Clemson 9-3   UCLA 11-2   St Louis 7-1  
7 BYU 11-3   Oregon 9-2   Louisville 9-3   Colorado 11-4  
8 Michigan St 8-4   Oklahoma St 10-3   Rutgers 7-4   Purdue 11-5  
9 North Carolina 9-5   LSU 11-3   Drake 13-0   Boise St 13-1  
10 USC 11-3   Arkansas 11-3   Oklahoma 8-4   Florida 7-4  
11 UConn 7-2   VCU 10-4   Duke 5-4   Utah St 11-3  
12 Seton Hall 9-6/Stanford 8-4   Belmont 14-1   Xavier 10-2/St Bonaventure 7-1 Grand Canyon 6-3  
13 UAB 10-2   Toledo 12-4   Liberty 12-5   Winthrop 15-0  
14 Northeastern 7-5   Furman 10-4   South Dakota St 8-3   Georgia St 8-2  
15 UMBC 10-3   Cal St Bakersfield 9-4 Sam Houston St 12-5   Cleveland St 9-4  
16 Siena 6-0   S. Utah 9-2   Morgan St 6-4/Bryant 10-3   Navy 9-1/Prairie View A&M 3-4  
Last 4 in - Seton Hall, Stanford, Xavier, St Bonaventure  
First 4 out - Loyola-Chicago, San Diego St, Colorado St., Wichita St  
Moving In - Sam Houston St., St Bonaventure  
Moving out - Abilene Christian, Northwestern  
Others considered for at-large bids (no particular order) -  Northwestern, UCF, SMU, W Kentucky, Memphis, Maryland, Mississippi, Marquette, San Francisco, Utah, Butler, Dayton, Davidson, Rhode Island, Pittsburgh, Wake Forest, Miami, Notre Dame Georgia Tech, TCU, Providence, Georgetown, DePaul, St Johns  Nebraska, NC State, Kentucky, Penn St, Marshall, Buffalo, S. Illinois, Bradley, Richmond, Utah, Arizona St., Georgia, Texas A&M, Mississippi St, South Carolina, Cincinnati, Syracuse, Washington St, St Mary's, Tulsa, Indiana    
On Life Support (but probably dead) - Coming February-ish 2021      
No longer considered for at-large bid (must win conf tourney) - Coming February-ish 2021      
Multi bid conferences - Big 10 (9), ACC (7), Big 12 (7), SEC (6), Big East (5), PAC 12 (5), A10 (3), MWC (2), WCC (2)      
Leaders or highest NET from projected 1-bid conferences - (22 total): AAC - Houston, America East - UMBC, Atlantic Sun - Liberty, Big Sky - Southern Utah, Big South - Winthrop, Big West - Cal St Bakersfield, CAA - Northeastern,  C-USA - UAB, Horizon - Cleveland State, MAAC - Siena, MAC - Toledo, MEAC - Morgan St., MVC - Drake, Northeast - Bryant, OVC - Belmont., Patriot - Navy, Southern - Furman, Southland - Abilene Christian, SWAC - Prairie View A&M, Summit - South Dakota State, Sun Belt - Georgia St, WAC - Grand Canyon    
Banned from participating - Alabama St., Alabama A&M, Delaware St, Auburn, Arizona  
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - Cal Baptist, North Alabama, Merrimack, Dixie State, Tarleton State, Bellarmine, UC San Diego      
COVID-19 - Ivy League, Bethune-Cookman, Maryland-Eastern Shore      
Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament.  
Teams in Black are Virtual LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest NET chosen for now)   
Teams in Red have work left to do or need help  

True Seed List

Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team
1 1 Gonzaga 5 17 Minnesota 9 33 Boise State 13 51 UAB
2 Baylor 18 Missouri 34 North Carolina 52 Toledo
3 Villanova 19 Virginia Tech 35 Drake 53 Liberty
4 Michigan 20 Alabama 36 LSU 54 Winthrop
2 5 Iowa 6 21 UCLA 10 37 Oklahoma 14 55 Furman
6 Texas 22 St. Louis 38 Florida 56 Georgia St
7 Houston 23 Illinois 39 Arkansas 57 South Dakota State
8 Virginia 24 Clemson 40 USC 58 Northeastern
3 9 Kansas 7 25 Oregon 11 41 Utah St 15 59 UMBC
10 Wisconsin 26 Louisville 42 Duke 60 Sam Houston St
11 Creighton 27 BYU 43 Connecticut 61 Cleveland State
12 Tennessee 28 Colorado 44 VCU 62 Bakersfield
4 13 West Virginia 8 29 Purdue 12 45 Seton Hall 16 63 Siena
14 Florida State 30 Michigan State 46 Stanford 64 S. Utah
15 Texas Tech 31 Rutgers 47 Xavier 65 Bryant
16 Ohio State 32 Oklahoma St 48 St. Bonaventure 66 Navy
          49 Belmont 67 Morgan St
          50 Grand Canyon 68 Prairie View A&M
          1st 4 out 1 Colorado State      
          2 Loyola-Chicago      
          3 San Diego State      
          4 Wichita St      

Bracket

Midwest - Indianapolis        West - Indianapolis   
Indianapolis    Indianapolis 
1 Michigan 12-1     1 Gonzaga 14-0  
16 S. Utah 9-2     16 Navy 9-1/Prairie View A&M 3-4  
8 Oklahoma St 10-3     8 Purdue 11-5  
9 LSU 11-3     9 Boise St 13-1  
Indianapolis    Indianapolis 
5 Minnesota 11-4     5 Alabama 12-3  
12 Belmont 14-1     12 Grand Canyon 6-3  
13 Toledo 12-4     13 Winthrop 15-0  
4 Florida St 8-2     4 Ohio St 11-4  
Indianapolis    Indianapolis 
3 Creighton 10-4   3 Kansas 10-4
14 Furman 10-4     14 Georgia St 8-2  
6 Clemson 9-3     6 St Louis 7-1  
11 VCU 10-4     11 Utah St 11-3  
Indianapolis    Indianapolis 
10 Arkansas 11-3     10 Florida 7-4  
7 Oregon 9-2     7 Colorado 11-4  
15 Cal St Bakersfield 9-4     15 Cleveland St 9-4  
2 Texas 11-2     2 Virginia 9-2
             
East - Indianapolis      South - Indianapolis   
Indianapolis    Indianapolis 
1 Villanova 9-1     1 Baylor 13-0  
16 Siena 6-0     16 Morgan St 6-4/Bryant 10-3  
8 Michigan St 8-4     8 Rutgers 7-4  
9 North Carolina 9-5     9 Drake 13-0  
Indianapolis    Indianapolis 
5 Missouri 9-2     5 Virginia Tech 11-2  
12 Seton Hall 9-6/Stanford 8-4     12 Xavier 10-2/St Bonaventure 7-1
13 UAB 10-2     13 Liberty 12-5  
4 West Virginia 9-4     4 Texas Tech 11-4  
Indianapolis    Indianapolis 
3 Tennessee 10-2     3 Wisconsin 11-3  
14 Northeastern 7-5     14 South Dakota St 8-3  
6 Illinois 10-5     6 UCLA 11-2  
11 UConn 7-2     11 Duke 5-4  
Indianapolis    Indianapolis 
10 USC 11-3     10 Oklahoma 8-4  
7 BYU 11-3     7 Louisville 9-3  
15 UMBC 10-3     15 Sam Houston St 12-5  
2 Iowa 12-2     2 Houston 12-1

Match-ups
Seed East - Indianapolis  Midwest - Indianapolis  South - Indianapolis  West - Indianapolis 
1 Villanova 9-1   Michigan 12-1   Baylor 13-0   Gonzaga 14-0  
16 Siena 6-0   S. Utah 9-2   Morgan St 6-4/Bryant 10-3   Navy 9-1/Prairie View A&M 3-4  
8 Michigan St 8-4   Oklahoma St 10-3   Rutgers 7-4   Purdue 11-5  
9 North Carolina 9-5   LSU 11-3   Drake 13-0   Boise St 13-1  
12 Seton Hall 9-6/Stanford 8-4   Belmont 14-1   Xavier 10-2/St Bonaventure 7-1 Grand Canyon 6-3  
5 Missouri 9-2   Minnesota 11-4   Virginia Tech 11-2   Alabama 12-3  
13 UAB 10-2   Toledo 12-4   Liberty 12-5   Winthrop 15-0  
4 West Virginia 9-4   Florida St 8-2   Texas Tech 11-4   Ohio St 11-4  
3 Tennessee 10-2   Creighton 10-4 Wisconsin 11-3   Kansas 10-4
14 Northeastern 7-5   Furman 10-4   South Dakota St 8-3   Georgia St 8-2  
6 Illinois 10-5   Clemson 9-3   UCLA 11-2   St Louis 7-1  
11 UConn 7-2   VCU 10-4   Duke 5-4   Utah St 11-3  
10 USC 11-3   Arkansas 11-3   Oklahoma 8-4   Florida 7-4  
7 BYU 11-3   Oregon 9-2   Louisville 9-3   Colorado 11-4  
15 UMBC 10-3   Cal St Bakersfield 9-4   Sam Houston St 12-5   Cleveland St 9-4  
2 Iowa 12-2   Texas 11-2   Houston 12-1 Virginia 9-2

These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.  If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me.  Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess.  Thanks and enjoy.



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