One of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ year experience. 98% accuracy rate since 2005 Inaugural Super10 Mock Selection Committee member sponsored by the NCAA and Turner Sports. Follow me on twitter, join my facebook group, or like my facebook page.. UPDATED DAILY starting in January!!!! If this looks old, hit refresh! Official Bracketologist for |
67 of 68 IN, 65 of 68 seeded right or within 1 line, I missed Michigan, and would do it again - undeserving! Now Join my Yahoo group here.
PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game. Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences.
DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its NET in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..
The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.
Last updated 03/13/2022 06:59 PM Central Time
Seeds
Seed | East - Philadelphia | Midwest - Chicago | South - San Antonio | West - San Francisco | ||||
1 | Baylor 26-6 | Kansas 28-6 | Arizona 31-3 | Gonzaga 26-3 | ||||
2 | Kentucky 26-7 | Auburn 27-5 | Villanova 26-7 | Tennessee 26-7 | ||||
3 | Duke 28-6 | Purdue 27-7 | Texas Tech 25-9 | Wisconsin 24-7 | ||||
4 | Illinois 22-9 | Providence 25-5 | Arkansas 25-8 | UCLA 25-7 | ||||
5 | Connecticut 23-9 | Iowa 25-9 | St Mary's 25-7 | Houston 29-5 | ||||
6 | LSU 22-11 | Texas 21-11 | Colorado St 25-5 | Alabama 19-13 | ||||
7 | USC 26-7 | Michigan St 22-12 | Murray St 30-2 | TCU 20-12 | ||||
8 | Ohio St 19-11 | Marquette 19-12 | Iowa State 20-12 | Boise St 27-7 | ||||
9 | Seton Hall 21-10 | San Diego St 23-8 | Memphis 21-10 | North Carolina 24-9 | ||||
10 | San Francisco 24-9 | Miami 23-10 | Virginia Tech 23-12 | Creighton 22-11 | ||||
11 | Davidson 27-5 | Wyoming 25-8/Texas A&M 23-12 | Indiana 20-13 | Loyola-Chicago 25-7 | ||||
12 | Chattanooga 27-7 | South Dakota St 30-4 | Rutgers 18-13/Notre Dame 22-9 | Richmond 23-12 | ||||
13 | Vermont 28-5 | Akron 24-9 | UAB 27-7 | New Mexico St 26-6 | ||||
14 | Colgate 23-11 | Montana St 27-7 | CS-Fullerton 21-10 | Yale 19-11 | ||||
15 | Jacksonville St 21-10 | St Peters 19-11 | Delaware 22-12 | Longwood 26-6 | ||||
16 | TX Southern 18-12/Bryant 22-9 | Georgia St 18-10 | Texas A&M-CC 23-11/Norfolk St 24-6 | Wright St 21-13 | ||||
Last 4 in - Wyming, Notre Dame, Texas A&M, Rutgers | ||||||||
First 4 out - Michigan, Xavier, SMU, BYU | ||||||||
Next 4 out - Dayton, Oklahoma, Wake Forest, VCU | ||||||||
Moving in - Yale, Richmond | ||||||||
Moving out - Princeton, Michigan | ||||||||
Others considered for at-large bids - St Johns, Florida, Colorado, Santa Clara, St Louis | ||||||||
On Life Support (but probably dead) - | ||||||||
No longer considered for at-large bid (must win conf tourney) - None | ||||||||
Multi bid conferences - Big 10 (8), SEC (7), Big 12 (6), Big East (6), ACC (5). MWC (4), PAC 12 (3), WCC (3), A10 (2), AAC (2) | ||||||||
Leaders or highest NET from projected 1-bid conferences - (22 total): America East - Vermont, Atlantic Sun - Jacksonville St, Big Sky - Montana St, Big South - Longwood, Big West - Cal State Fullerton, CAA - Delaware, C-USA - UAB, Horizon - Wright St, Ivy League - Yale, MAAC - St Peters, MAC - Akron, MEAC - Norfolk St., Missouri Valley - Loyola-Chicago, Northeast - Bryant, OVC - Murray State, Patriot - Colgate, Southern - Chattanooga, Southland - Texas A&M-CC, SWAC - Texas Southern, Summit - South Dakota St, Sun Belt - Georgia St, WAC - New Mexico St | ||||||||
Banned - Oklahoma St | ||||||||
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - Cal Baptist, North Alabama, Merrimack, Dixie State, Tarleton State, Bellarmine, UC San Diego, St Thomas | ||||||||
Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament. | ||||||||
Teams in Black are Virtual LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest NET chosen for now) | ||||||||
Teams in Red have work left to do or need help |
True Seed List
Seed Line | Overall Seed | Team | Seed Line | Overall Seed | Team | Seed Line | Overall Seed | Team | Seed Line | Overall Seed | Memphis |
1 | 1 | Gonzaga | 5 | 17 | Iowa | 9 | 33 | Seton Hall | 13 | 51 | New Mexico St |
2 | Arizona | 18 | Houston | 34 | San Diego St | 52 | Vermont | ||||
3 | Kansas | 19 | Connecticut | 35 | North Carolina | 53 | UAB | ||||
4 | Baylor | 20 | St Mary's | 36 | Creighton | 54 | Akron | ||||
2 | 5 | Auburn | 6 | 21 | Texas | 10 | 37 | Memphis | 14 | 55 | Colgate |
6 | Kentucky | 22 | LSU | 38 | San Francisco | 56 | CS Fullerton | ||||
7 | Villanova | 23 | Colorado St | 39 | Virginia Tech | 57 | Yale | ||||
8 | Tennessee | 24 | Alabama | 40 | Miami | 58 | Montana St | ||||
3 | 9 | Duke | 7 | 25 | Murray St | 11 | 41 | Loyola-Chicago | 15 | 59 | Delaware |
10 | Purdue | 26 | TCU | 42 | Davidson | 60 | Longwood | ||||
11 | Texas Tech | 27 | USC | 43 | Indiana | 61 | St Peters | ||||
12 | Wisconsin | 28 | Michigan St | 44 | Wyoming | 62 | Jacksonville St | ||||
4 | 13 | Arkansas | 8 | 29 | Boise St | 45 | Texas A&M | 16 | 63 | Georgia St | |
14 | UCLA | 30 | Ohio St | 12 | 46 | Notre Dame | 64 | Wright St | |||
15 | Illinois | 31 | Iowa St | 47 | Rutgers | 65 | Norfolk St | ||||
16 | Providence | 32 | Marquette | 48 | South Dakota St | 66 | Bryant | ||||
49 | Richmond | 67 | Texas A&M-CC | ||||||||
50 | Chattanooga | 68 | Texas Southern | ||||||||
1st 4 out | 1 | Xavier | Next 4 | 5 | Oklahoma | ||||||
2 | SMU | 6 | Wake Forest | ||||||||
3 | BYU | 7 | Richmond | ||||||||
4 | Dayton | 8 | VCU |
Bracket
South - San Antonio | Midwest - Chicago | |||||
San Diego | Ft Worth | |||||
1 | Arizona 31-3 | 1 | Kansas 28-6 | |||
16 | Texas A&M-CC 23-11/Norfolk St 24-6 | 16 | Georgia St 18-10 | |||
8 | Iowa State 20-12 | 8 | Marquette 19-12 | |||
9 | Memphis 21-10 | 9 | San Diego St 23-8 | |||
Milwaukee | Buffalo | |||||
5 | St Mary's 25-7 | 5 | Iowa 25-9 | |||
12 | Rutgers 18-13/Notre Dame 22-9 | 12 | South Dakota St 30-4 | |||
13 | UAB 27-7 | 13 | Akron 24-9 | |||
4 | Arkansas 25-8 | 4 | Providence 25-5 | |||
San Diego | Indianapolis | |||||
3 | Texas Tech 25-9 | 3 | Purdue 27-7 | |||
14 | CS-Fullerton 21-10 | 14 | Montana St 27-7 | |||
6 | Colorado St 25-5 | 6 | Texas 21-11 | |||
11 | Indiana 20-13 | 11 | Wyoming 25-8/Texas A&M 23-12 | |||
Pittsburgh | Greenville | |||||
10 | Virginia Tech 23-12 | 10 | Miami 23-10 | |||
7 | Murray St 30-2 | 7 | Michigan St 22-12 | |||
15 | Delaware 22-12 | 15 | St Peters 19-11 | |||
2 | Villanova 26-7 | 2 | Auburn 27-5 | |||
East - Philadelphia | West - San Francisco | |||||
Ft Worth | Portland | |||||
1 | Baylor 26-6 | 1 | Gonzaga 26-3 | |||
16 | TX Southern 18-12/Bryant 22-9 | 16 | Wright St 21-13 | |||
8 | Ohio St 19-11 | 8 | Boise St 27-7 | |||
9 | Seton Hall 21-10 | 9 | North Carolina 24-9 | |||
Buffalo | Portland | |||||
5 | Connecticut 23-9 | 5 | Houston 29-5 | |||
12 | Chattanooga 27-7 | 12 | Richmond 23-12 | |||
13 | Vermont 28-5 | 13 | New Mexico St 26-6 | |||
4 | Illinois 22-9 | 4 | UCLA 25-7 | |||
Pittsburgh | Milwaukee | |||||
3 | Duke 28-6 | 3 | Wisconsin 24-7 | |||
14 | Colgate 23-11 | 14 | Yale 19-11 | |||
6 | LSU 22-11 | 6 | Alabama 19-13 | |||
11 | Davidson 27-5 | 11 | Loyola-Chicago 25-7 | |||
Indianapolis | Greenville | |||||
10 | San Francisco 24-9 | 10 | Creighton 22-11 | |||
7 | USC 26-7 | 7 | TCU 20-12 | |||
15 | Jacksonville St 21-10 | 15 | Longwood 26-6 | |||
2 | Kentucky 26-7 | 2 | Tennessee 26-7 |
Seed | East - Philadelphia | Midwest - Chicago | South - San Antonio | West - San Francisco | ||||
1 | Baylor 26-6 | Kansas 28-6 | Arizona 31-3 | Gonzaga 26-3 | ||||
16 | TX Southern 18-12/Bryant 22-9 | Georgia St 18-10 | Texas A&M-CC 23-11/Norfolk St 24-6 | Wright St 21-13 | ||||
8 | Ohio St 19-11 | Marquette 19-12 | Iowa State 20-12 | Boise St 27-7 | ||||
9 | Seton Hall 21-10 | San Diego St 23-8 | Memphis 21-10 | North Carolina 24-9 | ||||
12 | Chattanooga 27-7 | South Dakota St 30-4 | Rutgers 18-13/Notre Dame 22-9 | Richmond 23-12 | ||||
5 | Connecticut 23-9 | Iowa 25-9 | St Mary's 25-7 | Houston 29-5 | ||||
13 | Vermont 28-5 | Akron 24-9 | UAB 27-7 | New Mexico St 26-6 | ||||
4 | Illinois 22-9 | Providence 25-5 | Arkansas 25-8 | UCLA 25-7 | ||||
3 | Duke 28-6 | Purdue 27-7 | Texas Tech 25-9 | Wisconsin 24-7 | ||||
14 | Colgate 23-11 | Montana St 27-7 | CS-Fullerton 21-10 | Yale 19-11 | ||||
6 | LSU 22-11 | Texas 21-11 | Colorado St 25-5 | Alabama 19-13 | ||||
11 | Davidson 27-5 | Wyoming 25-8/Texas A&M 23-12 | Indiana 20-13 | Loyola-Chicago 25-7 | ||||
10 | San Francisco 24-9 | Miami 23-10 | Virginia Tech 23-12 | Creighton 22-11 | ||||
7 | USC 26-7 | Michigan St 22-12 | Murray St 30-2 | TCU 20-12 | ||||
15 | Jacksonville St 21-10 | St Peters 19-11 | Delaware 22-12 | Longwood 26-6 | ||||
2 | Kentucky 26-7 | Auburn 27-5 | Villanova 26-7 | Tennessee 26-7 |
These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY. If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me. Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess. Thanks and enjoy.
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