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One of the most accurate Bracketologists with 10+ year experience. 98% accuracy rate since 2005. 14 years and going strong! Inaugural Super10 Mock Selection Committee member sponsored by the NCAA and Turner Sports. Follow me on twitter, join my facebook group, or like my facebook page.. UPDATED DAILY starting in January!!!! If this looks old, hit refresh! Official Bracketologist for
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Well folks, Big Monday is back, and for such a small slate of games, that was a pretty big Monday. Duke, already without Reddish due to illness, lost Jones in the first half and it cost them a home game to Syracuse, who desperately needed a big win. After much consternation, I have moved Duke to the 2 line and Kansas, after topping a feisty Texas team, back to the 1 line. Also moving up - Nebraska with a big win at Indiana, and it wasn't really that close. Maryland kept their streak alive with a win over slumping Wisconsin. And Pittsburgh moves closer to being in with a hard fought win over Florida State. More on tap tonight.
PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game. Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences.
Subscribe to my Podcast - hoping to have 2-3 per week as we get closer to the tourney. Older episodes available - click the In The News link to the left.
DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its Ratings Percentage Index in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..
The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.
Last updated 01/15/2019 05:21 AM Central Time
Seeds
| Seed | East - Washington DC | Midwest - Kansas City | South - Louisville | West - Anaheim | ||||
| 1 | Virginia 15-0 | Kansas 15-2 | ↑ | Michigan 17-0 | Tennessee 14-1 | |||
| 2 | Michigan State 15-2 | Duke 14-1 | ↓ | Texas Tech 15-1 | Gonzaga 16-2 | |||
| 3 | Oklahoma 13-3 | Marquette 14-3 | North Carolina 12-4 | Virginia Tech 14-1 | ||||
| 4 | Maryland 15-3 | Kentucky 12-3 | ↑ | Florida State 13-3 | Nevada 16-1 | |||
| 5 | Auburn 13-2 | Nebraska 12-4 | ↑ | Houston 16-1 | Wisconsin 11-5 | |||
| 6 | Louisville 11-5 | Iowa 14-3 | Villanova 13-4 | Indiana 12-4 | ↓ | |||
| 7 | North Carolina State 14-2 | Buffalo 15-1 | Ole Miss 13-2 | Ohio State 12-4 | ||||
| 8 | LSU 12-3 | Mississippi State 12-3 | TCU 12-3 | Temple 13-3 | ||||
| 9 | Minnesota 13-3 | Purdue 9-6 | Seton Hall 12-5 | Iowa State 12-4 | ||||
| 10 | Texas 10-7 | Alabama 10-5 | Saint John's 14-3 | Syracuse 11-5 | ↑ | |||
| 11 | Arizona 13-4 | Arizona State 12-4/UCF 13-2 | ↓ | Kansas State 12-4 | ↓ | Washington 12-4/Cincinnati 14-3 | ||
| 12 | VCU 11-5 | Belmont 12-3 | Lipscomb 12-4 | Wofford 14-4 | ||||
| 13 | Georgia State 13-4 | Stony Brook 15-3 | North Texas 16-2 | New Mexico State 13-4 | ||||
| 14 | UC Irvine 14-4 | Radford 11-6 | Loyola-Chicago 10-7 | Hofstra 15-3 | ||||
| 15 | Lehigh 10-4 | Northern Kentucky 14-4 | Yale 10-3 | South Dakota State 13-6 | ||||
| 16 | Wagner 8-7/Norfolk State 9-10 | Montana 12-5 | Rider 9-7/TX-Southern 6-9 | Abilene Christian 14-3 | ||||
| Last 4 in - UCF, Cincinnati, Arizona State, Washington | ||||||||
| First 4 out - Furman, Pittsburgh, Creighton, Clemson | ||||||||
| Moving In - | ||||||||
| Moving out - | ||||||||
| Others considered for at-large bids (no particular order) - Vanderbilt, Murray State, Oklahoma State, Saint Louis, Memphis, Wichita State, San Francisco, Boston College, Tulsa, Baylor, Florida, Arkansas, Dayton, Maimi-FLA, Utah State, West Virginia, Missouri, Fresno State, Saint Louis, Oregon, Georgetown, DePaul, Colorado, UCLA, Xavier, Oregon State, UConn, Rutgers, Penn State, Northwestern, Georgia, Texas A&M, Davidson, Notre Dame, Providence, Saint Mary's | ||||||||
| On Life Support - | ||||||||
| No longer considered for at-large bid - coming February 2019 or sooner | ||||||||
| Multi bid conferences - Big 10 (10), ACC (8), Big 12 (7), SEC (7), AAC (4), Big East (4), Pac 12 (3) | ||||||||
| Leaders or highest RPI from projected 1-bid conferences - (25 total): A10 - VCU, America East - Stony Brook, Atlantic Sun - Lipscomb, Big Sky - Montana, Big South - Radford, Big West - UC Irvine, CAA - Hofstra, C-USA - North Texas, Horizon - Northern Kentucky, Ivy - Yale, MAAC - Rider, MAC - Buffalo, MEAC - Norfolk State, MVC - Loyola-Chicago, MWC - Nevada, Northeast - Wagner, Ohio Valley - Belmont, Patriot - Lehigh, Southern - Wofford, Southland - Abilene Christian, SWAC - Texas Southern, Summit - South Dakota State, Sun Belt - Georgia State, WAC - New Mexico State, WCC - Gonzaga | ||||||||
| Banned from participating - none….yet | ||||||||
| Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - Cal Baptist, North Alabama | ||||||||
| Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament. | ||||||||
| Teams in Black are LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest RPI chosen for now) | ||||||||
| Teams in Red have work left to do | ||||||||
Bracket
| East - Washington, DC | South - Louisville | |||||
| Columbia | Columbus | |||||
| 1 | Virginia 15-0 | 1 | Michigan 17-0 | |||
| 16 | Wagner 8-7/Norfolk State 9-10 | 16 | Rider 9-7/TX-Southern 6-9 | |||
| 8 | LSU 12-3 | 8 | TCU 12-3 | |||
| 9 | Minnesota 13-3 | 9 | Seton Hall 12-5 | |||
| Hartford | San Jose | |||||
| 5 | Auburn 13-2 | 5 | Houston 16-1 | |||
| 12 | VCU 11-5 | 12 | Lipscomb 12-4 | |||
| 13 | Georgia State 13-4 | 13 | North Texas 16-2 | |||
| 4 | Maryland 15-3 | 4 | Florida State 13-3 | |||
| Des Moines | Jacksonville | |||||
| 3 | Oklahoma 13-3 | 3 | North Carolina 12-4 | |||
| 14 | UC Irvine 14-4 | 14 | Loyola-Chicago 10-7 | |||
| 6 | Louisville 11-5 | 6 | Villanova 13-4 | |||
| 11 | Arizona 13-4 | 11 | Kansas State 12-4 | ↓ | ||
| Des Moines | Tulsa | |||||
| 10 | Texas 10-7 | 10 | Saint John's 14-3 | |||
| 7 | North Carolina State 14-2 | 7 | Ole Miss 13-2 | |||
| 15 | Lehigh 10-4 | 15 | Yale 10-3 | |||
| 2 | Michigan State 15-2 | 2 | Texas Tech 15-1 | |||
| West - Anaheim | Midwest - Kansas City | |||||
| Columbia | Tulsa | |||||
| 1 | Tennessee 14-1 | 1 | Kansas 15-2 | ↑ | ||
| 16 | Abilene Christian 14-3 | 16 | Montana 12-5 | |||
| 8 | Temple 13-3 | 8 | Mississippi State 12-3 | |||
| 9 | Iowa State 12-4 | 9 | Purdue 9-6 | |||
| San Jose | Salt Lake City | |||||
| 5 | Wisconsin 11-5 | 5 | Nebraska 12-4 | ↑ | ||
| 12 | Wofford 14-4 | 12 | Belmont 12-3 | |||
| 13 | New Mexico State 13-4 | 13 | Stony Brook 15-3 | |||
| 4 | Nevada 16-1 | 4 | Kentucky 12-3 | ↑ | ||
| Jacksonville | Hartford | |||||
| 3 | Virginia Tech 14-1 | 3 | Marquette 14-3 | |||
| 14 | Hofstra 15-3 | 14 | Radford 11-6 | |||
| 6 | Indiana 12-4 | ↓ | 6 | Iowa 14-3 | ||
| 11 | Washington 12-4/Cincinnati 14-3 | 11 | Arizona State 12-4/UCF 13-2 | ↓ | ||
| Salt Lake City | Columbus | |||||
| 10 | Syracuse 11-5 | ↑ | 10 | Alabama 10-5 | ||
| 7 | Ohio State 12-4 | 7 | Buffalo 15-1 | |||
| 15 | South Dakota State 13-6 | 15 | Northern Kentucky 14-4 | |||
| 2 | Gonzaga 16-2 | 2 | Duke 14-1 | ↓ | ||
| Seed | East - Washington DC | Midwest - Kansas City | South - Louisville | West - Anaheim | ||||
| 1 | Virginia 15-0 | Kansas 15-2 | ↑ | Michigan 17-0 | Tennessee 14-1 | |||
| 16 | Wagner 8-7/Norfolk State 9-10 | Montana 12-5 | Rider 9-7/TX-Southern 6-9 | Abilene Christian 14-3 | ||||
| 8 | LSU 12-3 | Mississippi State 12-3 | TCU 12-3 | Temple 13-3 | ||||
| 9 | Minnesota 13-3 | Purdue 9-6 | Seton Hall 12-5 | Iowa State 12-4 | ||||
| 12 | VCU 11-5 | Belmont 12-3 | Lipscomb 12-4 | Wofford 14-4 | ||||
| 5 | Auburn 13-2 | Nebraska 12-4 | ↑ | Houston 16-1 | Wisconsin 11-5 | |||
| 13 | Georgia State 13-4 | Stony Brook 15-3 | North Texas 16-2 | New Mexico State 13-4 | ||||
| 4 | Maryland 15-3 | Kentucky 12-3 | ↑ | Florida State 13-3 | Nevada 16-1 | |||
| 3 | Oklahoma 13-3 | Marquette 14-3 | North Carolina 12-4 | Virginia Tech 14-1 | ||||
| 14 | UC Irvine 14-4 | Radford 11-6 | Loyola-Chicago 10-7 | Hofstra 15-3 | ||||
| 6 | Louisville 11-5 | Iowa 14-3 | Villanova 13-4 | Indiana 12-4 | ↓ | |||
| 11 | Arizona 13-4 | Arizona State 12-4/UCF 13-2 | ↓ | Kansas State 12-4 | ↓ | Washington 12-4/Cincinnati 14-3 | ||
| 10 | Texas 10-7 | Alabama 10-5 | Saint John's 14-3 | Syracuse 11-5 | ↑ | |||
| 7 | North Carolina State 14-2 | Buffalo 15-1 | Ole Miss 13-2 | Ohio State 12-4 | ||||
| 15 | Lehigh 10-4 | Northern Kentucky 14-4 | Yale 10-3 | South Dakota State 13-6 | ||||
| 2 | Michigan State 15-2 | Duke 14-1 | ↓ | Texas Tech 15-1 | Gonzaga 16-2 | |||
These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY. If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me. Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess. Thanks and enjoy.
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