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OK folks, we're a month or so into this season and absolutely NOTHING has changed since my preseason bracket - haha - I'm not even sure if ANY of these teams are on the same seed line as a month ago. November Madness lived up to the hype, yet again. What we've learned: No one wants to be #1 it seems, every team is beatable, especially at home. There are no clear cut "top" teams, plenty above average teams, many good teams, but, as of now, no one stands out as elite. The 1 seeds are more up for grabs than maybe ever before. I expect a couple of teams to separate themselves, not sure who yet, but it just has to happen, right? As always, I hate your team and have dropped them because of that. Gut feeling - the tourney will be epic and everyone can lose 1st round - whoever wins it will do so in a dogfight. I hope to have a few more updates before I start with daily updates Jan 1.

PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game.  Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences.

Subscribe to my Podcast - hoping to have 2-3 per week as we get closer to the tourney. Older episodes available - click the In The News link to the left.

DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its NET in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..

The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.

Last updated 12/07/2019 08:51 AM Central Time 

Seeds

Seed East - New York Midwest - Indianapolis South - Houston West - Los Angeles
1 Ohio State 8-0   Louisville 9-0   Kansas 6-1   Maryland 9-0  
2 Duke 9-1   Michigan 8-1   Dayton 6-1   Gonzaga 9-1  
3 Oregon 6-2   Arizona 9-0   Virginia 7-1   North Carolina 6-2  
4 Seton Hall 6-2   Kentucky 6-1   Michigan State 5-3   Auburn 8-0  
5 Tennessee 7-1   Memphis 7-1   Florida State 7-2   West Virginia 7-0  
6 Baylor 6-1   Utah State 8-1   Villanova 6-2   Washington 7-1  
7 LSU 6-2   Xavier 8-1   Butler 8-0   Colorado 7-0  
8 San Diago State 9-0   Indiana 8-0   Purdue 5-3   Marquette 6-2  
9 DePaul 9-0   Florida 6-2   Arkansas 8-0   VCU 6-2  
10 Texas 7-1   Oklahoma State 7-1   Saint Mary's 9-1   Creighton 6-2  
11 Temple 6-1   Penn State 7-1/Texas Tech 5-3   Stanford 8-1/Oklahoma 7-1   Richmond 7-1  
12 Liberty 10-0   SFA 7-2   Northern Iowa 8-1   ETSU 8-1  
13 Belmont 6-3   Yale 7-3   Kent State 7-1   UTEP 5-1  
14 Montana State 6-3   New Mexico State 5-4   Delaware 9-0   Vermont 6-4  
15 Arkansas State 6-2   South Dakota 7-3   Wright State 7-2   Hawaii 6-2  
16 Campbell 6-2   Grambling 4-4/Bethune-Cookman 5-4   Colgate 6-3   Rider 5-2/Bryant 6-4  
Last 4 in - Penn State, Stanford, Oklahoma, Texas Tech  
First 4 out - Iowa State, Virginia Tech, Arizona State, USC  
Moving In - Coming mid-January  
Moving out - Coming mid-January  
Others considered for at-large bids (no particular order) - Mississippi State, Tulane, Tulsa, UCF, Duquesne, Toledo, Boston College, Pittsburgh, Miami-Fla, Notre Dame, Saint Louis, Georgia, Wake Forest, Connecticut, Cincinnati, Providence, Houston, George Mason, Drake, Evansville, Santa Clara, St. Johns, Illinois, BYU, Minnesota, Iowa, Northwestern, NC State, Rutgers, Kansas State, SMU, TCU, Ole Miss, Fordham, Rhode Island, Alabama, New Mexico, Furman, Bradley, California, San Francisco, Missouri, South Carolina, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt, Nevada, Wisconsin, Georgetown, Oregon State, Syracuse, UCLA, Wichita State, Utah, Washington State, LaSalle, UMass, Clemson, Nebraska, UNCG, Portland, Pacific      
On Life Support (but probably dead) - Coming Feb 2020      
No longer considered for at-large bid - Coming Jan 2020      
Multi bid conferences - Big 10 (7), Big East (7), Big 12 (7), SEC (6), ACC (5), PAC12 (5), A10 (3),  AAC (2), MWC (2), WCC (2)      
Leaders or highest NET from projected 1-bid conferences - (22 total): America East - Vermont, Atlantic Sun - Liberty, Big Sky - Montana State, Big South - Campbell, Big West - Hawaii, CAA - Delaware, C-USA - UTEP, Horizon - Wright State, Ivy - Yale, MAAC - Rider, MAC - Kent State, MEAC - Bethune-Cookman, MVC - Northern Iowa, Northeast - Bryant, OVC - Belmont, Patriot - Colgate, Southern - ETSU, Southland - SFA, SWAC - Gambling, Summit - South Dakota, Sun Belt - Arkansas State, WAC - New Mexico State      
Banned from participating - Georgia Tech, Detroit  
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - Cal Baptist, North Alabama, Merrimack      
                 
Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament.  
Teams in Black are Virtual LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest NET chosen for now)   
Teams in Red have work left to do or need help  

True Seed List

Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team
1 1 Louisville 5 17 Memphis 9 33 VCU 13 51 UTEP
2 Kansas 18 Tennessee 34 Florida 52 Yale
3 Ohio State 19 West Virginia 35 DePaul 53 Belmont
4 Maryland 20 Florida State 36 Arkansas 54 Kent State
2 5 Michigan 6 21 Washington 10 37 Texas 14 55 Delaware
6 Gonzaga 22 Baylor 38 Oklahoma State 56 Vermont
7 Duke 23 Utah State 39 Saint Mary's 57 Montana State
8 Dayton 24 Villanova 40 Creighton 58 New Mexico State
3 9 Arizona 7 25 Xavier 11 41 Richmond 15 59 Wright State
10 Virginia 26 Colorado 42 Temple 60 Hawaii
11 Oregon 27 LSU 43 Penn State 61 Arkansas State
12 North Carolina 28 Butler 44 Stanford 62 South Dakota
4 13 Kentucky 8 29 San Diego State 45 Oklahoma 16 63 Campbell
14 Seton Hall 30 Marquette 46 Texas Tech 64 Colgate
15 Auburn 31 Indiana 12 47 Liberty 65 Rider
16 Michigan State 32 Purdue 48 SFA 66 Bryant
          49 ETSU 67 Grambling
          50 Northern Iowa 68 Bethune-Cookman
          1st 4 out 1 Iowa State      
          2 Virginia Tech      
          3 Arizona State      
          4 USC      

Bracket

East - New York     South - Houston  
Cleveland   Omaha
1 Ohio State 8-0     1 Kansas 6-1  
16 Campbell 6-2     16 Colgate 6-3  
8 San Diago State 9-0     8 Purdue 5-3  
9 DePaul 9-0     9 Arkansas 8-0  
St. Louis   Sacramento
5 Tennessee 7-1     5 Florida State 7-2  
12 Liberty 10-0     12 Northern Iowa 8-1  
13 Belmont 6-3     13 Kent State 7-1  
4 Seton Hall 6-2     4 Michigan State 5-3  
Spokane   Tampa
3 Oregon 6-2     3 Virginia 7-1  
14 Montana State 6-3     14 Delaware 9-0  
6 Baylor 6-1     6 Villanova 6-2  
11 Temple 6-1     11 Stanford 8-1/Oklahoma 7-1  
Greensboro   Albany
10 Texas 7-1     10 Saint Mary's 9-1  
7 LSU 6-2     7 Butler 8-0  
15 Arkansas State 6-2     15 Wright State 7-2  
2 Duke 9-1     2 Dayton 6-1  
             
West - Los Angeles     Midwest - Indianapolis  
Albany   Greensboro
1 Maryland 9-0     1 Louisville 9-0  
16 Rider 5-2/Bryant 6-4     16 Grambling 4-4/Bethune-Cookman 5-4  
8 Marquette 6-2     8 Indiana 8-0  
9 VCU 6-2     9 Florida 6-2  
Omaha   St. Louis
5 West Virginia 7-0     5 Memphis 7-1  
12 ETSU 8-1     12 SFA 7-2  
13 UTEP 5-1     13 Yale 7-3  
4 Auburn 8-0     4 Kentucky 6-1  
Tampa   Sacramento
3 North Carolina 6-2     3 Arizona 9-0  
14 Vermont 6-4     14 New Mexico State 5-4  
6 Washington 7-1     6 Utah State 8-1  
11 Richmond 7-1     11 Penn State 7-1/Texas Tech 5-3  
Spokane   Cleveland
10 Creighton 6-2     10 Oklahoma State 7-1  
7 Colorado 7-0     7 Xavier 8-1  
15 Hawaii 6-2     15 South Dakota 7-3  
2 Gonzaga 9-1     2 Michigan 8-1  

Match-ups
Seed East - New York Midwest - Indianapolis South - Houston West - Los Angeles
1 Ohio State 8-0   Louisville 9-0   Kansas 6-1   Maryland 9-0  
16 Campbell 6-2   Grambling 4-4/Bethune-Cookman 5-4   Colgate 6-3   Rider 5-2/Bryant 6-4  
8 San Diago State 9-0   Indiana 8-0   Purdue 5-3   Marquette 6-2  
9 DePaul 9-0   Florida 6-2   Arkansas 8-0   VCU 6-2  
12 Liberty 10-0   SFA 7-2   Northern Iowa 8-1   ETSU 8-1  
5 Tennessee 7-1   Memphis 7-1   Florida State 7-2   West Virginia 7-0  
13 Belmont 6-3   Yale 7-3   Kent State 7-1   UTEP 5-1  
4 Seton Hall 6-2   Kentucky 6-1   Michigan State 5-3   Auburn 8-0  
3 Oregon 6-2   Arizona 9-0   Virginia 7-1   North Carolina 6-2  
14 Montana State 6-3   New Mexico State 5-4   Delaware 9-0   Vermont 6-4  
6 Baylor 6-1   Utah State 8-1   Villanova 6-2   Washington 7-1  
11 Temple 6-1   Penn State 7-1/Texas Tech 5-3   Stanford 8-1/Oklahoma 7-1   Richmond 7-1  
10 Texas 7-1   Oklahoma State 7-1   Saint Mary's 9-1   Creighton 6-2  
7 LSU 6-2   Xavier 8-1   Butler 8-0   Colorado 7-0  
15 Arkansas State 6-2   South Dakota 7-3   Wright State 7-2   Hawaii 6-2  
2 Duke 9-1   Michigan 8-1   Dayton 6-1   Gonzaga 9-1  

These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.  If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me.  Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess.  Thanks and enjoy.



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