One of the more accurate Bracketologists with 15+ year experience. 98% accuracy rate since 2005

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Had Maryland pulled off the win at Ohio State, they would have moved to the 1 line. Alas (in my best Shakespearean voice) it didn't happen, but they do NOT move down the 2 line. Cincinnati has moved in based off their win over Wichita State on Sunday, Richmond moves out, but it's close for sure. Indiana has moved up a bit after topping Penn State. Creighton is moving closer to the 2 line, but not yet. Also, I still hate your team!!!!

PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game.  Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences.

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DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its NET in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..

The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.

Last updated 02/24/2020 05:52 AM Central Time 

Seeds

Seed East - New York Midwest - Indianapolis South - Houston West - Los Angeles
1 San Diego State 26-1   Kansas 24-3   Baylor 24-2   Gonzaga 27-2  
2 Maryland 22-5   Duke 23-4   Dayton 25-2   Florida State 23-4  
3 Kentucky 22-5   Villanova 21-6   Seton Hall 20-7   Creighton 22-6  
4 Louisville 23-5   Oregon 21-7   Auburn 23-4   West Virginia 19-8  
5 Penn State 20-7   Butler 19-9   Iowa 19-8   Michigan State 18-9  
6 Ohio State 18-9   BYU 23-7   Arizona 19-8   Colorado 21-7  
7 LSU 19-8   Illinois 17-9   Marquette 17-9   Michigan 18-9  
8 Texas Tech 18-9   Arizona State 19-8   Saint Mary's 23-6   Houston 21-7  
9 Xavier 17-10   Wisconsin 17-10   Virginia 19-7   Indiana 18-9 ↑
10 USC 19-9 ↓ Rhode Island 19-7   NC State 17-10   ETSU 25-4  
11 Providence 16-12   Oklahoma 16-11/Rutgers 18-10   Florida 17-10   Wichita State 20-7 ↓
12 Utah State 22-7/Cincinnati 18-9 ↑ Northern Iowa 23-5   SFA 24-3   Liberty 26-3  
13 Vermont 22-7   Yale 20-6   Akron 21-6   New Mexico State 22-6  
14 Wright State 24-6   Hofstra 22-7   Colgate 21-7   North Texas 18-10  
15 Belmont 22-7   Radford 19-9   UC Irvine 19-10   Little Rock 19-9  
16 South Dakota State 22-8   PVAM 15-11/St. Francis (PA) 19-8   St. Peters 15-11/NC A&T 14-14   Montana 17-10  
Last 4 in - Rutgers, Oklahoma, Utah State, Cincinnati  
First 4 out - Richmond, Georgetown, Memphis, UCLA  
Moving In - Cincinnati  
Moving out - Richmond  
Others considered for at-large bids (IN ORDER) - Stanford, Arkansas, UNCG, South Carolina, Alabama, Tennessee, Mississippi State, Clemson, Syracuse, Tennessee, Notre Dame, Purdue      
On Life Support (but probably dead) - Virginia Tech, Tulsa, Texas, Utah, St. Johns, Furman, Oregon State, Minnesota      
No longer considered for at-large bid (must win conf tourney) - Ole Miss, Vanderbilt, San Francisco, Boise State, LaSalle, George Mason, UCF, Nevada, New Mexico, Kent State, Santa Clara, Wake Forest, Boston College, Temple, Missouri, Kansas State, Iowa State, Oklahoma State, North Carolina, Washington State, Georgia, Duquesne, Washington, Saint Louis, Miami-FLA, Pittsburgh, DePaul, Ole Miss, TCU, Connecticut, SMU, VCU      
Multi bid conferences - Big 10 (10), Big East (7), ACC (5), Big 12 (5), PAC12 (5), SEC (4), AAC (3), WCC (3), A10 (2), MWC (2)      
Leaders or highest NET from projected 1-bid conferences - (22 total): America East - Vermont, Atlantic Sun - Liberty, Big Sky - Montana, Big South - Radford, Big West - UC Irvine, CAA - Hofstra, C-USA - North Texas, Horizon - Wright State, Ivy - Yale, MAAC - St. Peters, MAC - Akron, MEAC - NC A&T, MVC - Northern Iowa, Northeast - Saint Francis (PA), OVC - Belmont, Patriot - Colgate, Southern - ETSU, Southland - SFA, SWAC - Prairie View A&M, Summit - South Dakota State, Sun Belt - Little Rock, WAC - New Mexico State      
Banned from participating - Georgia Tech, Detroit  
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - Cal Baptist, North Alabama, Merrimack      
                 
Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament.  
Teams in Black are Virtual LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest NET chosen for now)   
Teams in Red have work left to do or need help  

True Seed List

Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Texas Seed Line Overall Seed Team
1 1 Kansas 5 17 Penn State 9 33 Virginia 13 51 Vermont
2 Baylor 18 Iowa 34 Wisconsin 52 Akron
3 Gonzaga 19 Butler 35 Indiana 53 New Mexico State
4 San Diego State 20 Michigan State 36 Xavier 54 Yale
2 5 Maryland 6 21 Colorado 10 37 USC 14 55 Colgate
6 Duke 22 BYU 38 NC State 56 Hofstra
7 Dayton 23 Ohio State 39 Rhode Island 57 North Texas
8 Florida State 24 Arizona 40 ETSU 58 Wright State
3 9 Creighton 7 25 Marquette 11 41 Wichita State 15 59 Belmont
10 Seton Hall 26 Illinois 42 Providence 60 UC Irvine
11 Villanova 27 LSU 43 Florida 61 Radford
12 Kentucky 28 Michigan 44 Rutgers 62 Little Rock
4 13 Louisville 8 29 Texas Tech 45 Oklahoma 16 63 South Dakota State
14 Oregon 30 Arizona State 12 46 Northern Iowa 64 Montana
15 Auburn 31 Houston 47 Utah State 65 St. Francis (PA)
16 West Virginia 32 Saint Mary's 48 Cincinnati 66 PVAM
          49 SFA 67 St. Peters
          50 Liberty 68 NC A&T
          1st 4 out 1 Richmond      
          2 Georgetown      
          3 Memphis      
          4 UCLA      

Bracket

East - New York     South - Houston  
Sacramento   St. Louis
1 San Diego State 26-1     1 Baylor 24-2  
16 South Dakota State 22-8     16 St. Peters 15-11/NC A&T 14-14  
8 Texas Tech 18-9     8 Saint Mary's 23-6  
9 Xavier 17-10     9 Virginia 19-7  
Omaha   Tampa
5 Penn State 20-7     5 Iowa 19-8  
12 Utah State 22-7/Cincinnati 18-9 ↑   12 SFA 24-3  
13 Vermont 22-7     13 Akron 21-6  
4 Louisville 23-5     4 Auburn 23-4  
Cleveland   Albany
3 Kentucky 22-5     3 Seton Hall 20-7  
14 Wright State 24-6     14 Colgate 21-7  
6 Ohio State 18-9     6 Arizona 19-8  
11 Providence 16-12     11 Florida 17-10  
Greensboro   Cleveland
10 USC 19-9 ↓   10 NC State 17-10  
7 LSU 19-8     7 Marquette 17-9  
15 Belmont 22-7     15 UC Irvine 19-10  
2 Maryland 22-5     2 Dayton 25-2  
             
West - Los Angeles     Midwest - Indianapolis  
Spokane   Omaha
1 Gonzaga 27-2     1 Kansas 24-3  
16 Montana 17-10     16 PVAM 15-11/St. Francis (PA) 19-8  
8 Houston 21-7     8 Arizona State 19-8  
9 Indiana 18-9 ↑   9 Wisconsin 17-10  
Sacramento   Spokane
5 Michigan State 18-9     5 Butler 19-9  
12 Liberty 26-3     12 Northern Iowa 23-5  
13 New Mexico State 22-6     13 Yale 20-6  
4 West Virginia 19-8     4 Oregon 21-7  
St. Louis   Albany
3 Creighton 22-6     3 Villanova 21-6  
14 North Texas 18-10     14 Hofstra 22-7  
6 Colorado 21-7     6 BYU 23-7  
11 Wichita State 20-7 ↓   11 Oklahoma 16-11/Rutgers 18-10  
Tampa   Greensboro
10 ETSU 25-4     10 Rhode Island 19-7  
7 Michigan 18-9     7 Illinois 17-9  
15 Little Rock 19-9     15 Radford 19-9  
2 Florida State 23-4     2 Duke 23-4  
Match-ups
Seed East - New York Midwest - Indianapolis South - Houston West - Los Angeles
1 San Diego State 26-1   Kansas 24-3   Baylor 24-2   Gonzaga 27-2  
16 South Dakota State 22-8   PVAM 15-11/St. Francis (PA) 19-8   St. Peters 15-11/NC A&T 14-14   Montana 17-10  
8 Texas Tech 18-9   Arizona State 19-8   Saint Mary's 23-6   Houston 21-7  
9 Xavier 17-10   Wisconsin 17-10   Virginia 19-7   Indiana 18-9 ↑
12 Utah State 22-7/Cincinnati 18-9 ↑ Northern Iowa 23-5   SFA 24-3   Liberty 26-3  
5 Penn State 20-7   Butler 19-9   Iowa 19-8   Michigan State 18-9  
13 Vermont 22-7   Yale 20-6   Akron 21-6   New Mexico State 22-6  
4 Louisville 23-5   Oregon 21-7   Auburn 23-4   West Virginia 19-8  
3 Kentucky 22-5   Villanova 21-6   Seton Hall 20-7   Creighton 22-6  
14 Wright State 24-6   Hofstra 22-7   Colgate 21-7   North Texas 18-10  
6 Ohio State 18-9   BYU 23-7   Arizona 19-8   Colorado 21-7  
11 Providence 16-12   Oklahoma 16-11/Rutgers 18-10   Florida 17-10   Wichita State 20-7 ↓
10 USC 19-9 ↓ Rhode Island 19-7   NC State 17-10   ETSU 25-4  
7 LSU 19-8   Illinois 17-9   Marquette 17-9   Michigan 18-9  
15 Belmont 22-7   Radford 19-9   UC Irvine 19-10   Little Rock 19-9  
2 Maryland 22-5   Duke 23-4   Dayton 25-2   Florida State 23-4  

These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.  If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me.  Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess.  Thanks and enjoy.

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