One of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ year experience. 98% accuracy rate since 2005

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UPDATED DAILY starting in January!!!! If this looks old, hit refresh!

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Here you go, a brand spankin new bracket on Dec 1!! I know I know, it sucks, I suck, etc etc, but its a stab at something that is discussable. Many teams are seeded too low, many too high, "potential" will factor in until January. If you feel your team deserves to be in NOW, with tons of games left, let me know.

PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game.  Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences. MOVEMENT ARROWS ARE TO THE RIGHT OF A TEAM.

DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its NET in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..

The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.

Last updated 12/01/2024 09:18 PM Central Time 

Seeds

Seed East - Newark Midwest - Indianapolis South - Atlanta West - San Francisco
1 Tennessee   Kansas   Auburn   Marquette  
2 Duke   Alabama   Oregon   Kentucky  
3 Iowa St   Wisconsin   Memphis   Gonzaga  
4 Illinois   Texas A&M   Purdue   Michigan St  
5 Baylor   Michigan   Arkansas   UConn  
6 Houston   Florida   Ole Miss   Cincinnati  
7 Oklahoma   West Virginia   Utah St   UNC  
8 St Johns   SDSU   St Marys   Arizona  
9 Louisville   Mississippi St   UCLA   Clemson  
10 Indiana   Rutgers   Texas   Xavier  
11 UGA/Boise St   Nevada/Arizona St   Drake   Creighton  
12 Grand Canyon   Liberty   McNeese   Dayton  
13 UC Irvine   Charleston   JMU   Samford  
14 Akron   Little Rock   North Florida   S Dakota St  
15 Vermont   Bucknell   Princeton   Marist  
16 High Point   Montana   Cent Conn/Milwaukee   Grambling St/Howard  
Last 4 in - Colorado, Oklahoma, UGA, SDSU  
First 4 out - BYU, Vandy, Ohio St, Wichita St  
Next 4 out - Texas Tech, Pittsburgh, VCU, Kansas St      
Moving in - coming 2025  
Moving out - coming 2025  
Others considered for at-large bids - FAU, North Texas, Wichita St, TCU, George Mason, Wake Forest, Davidson, Loyola-Chicago, UMass, Richmond, Villanova, St Bonaventure, St Josephs,  Boston College, Georgia Tech, Miami, Notre Dame, Syracuse, Virginia, VA Tech, Stanford, Cal, Butler, DePaul, Georgetown, Seton Hall, Iowa, Maryland, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern, Penn St, USC, Washington, Colorado, OK St, UCF, Utah, LA Tech, New Mexico St, W KY, Ohio, Akron, Belmont, Bradley, Ill-Chi, Indiana St, Missouri St, Murray St, N Iowa, So Ill, South Carolina, LSU, Missouri, Vanderbilt, Colorado St, UNLV, Washington St, Oregon St, New Mexico, SMU, St Louis, NC St    
On Life Support (but probably dead) -  coming 2025      
No longer considered for at-large bid (must win conf tourney) - coming 2025      
Multi bid conferences -  SEC (12), Big 10 (9), Big 12 (8), Big East (5), ACC (4), MWC (4), WCC (2)      
Leaders or highest NET from projected 1-bid conferences - (24 total):  A-10 - Dayton, AAC - Memphis, America East - Vermont, Atlantic Sun - North Florida, Big Sky - Montana, Big South - High Point, Big West - UC Irvine, CAA - Charleston, C-USA - Liberty, Horizon - Mikwaukee, Ivy League - Princeton, MAAC - Marist, MAC - Akron, MEAC - Howard, MWC - Drake, Northeast - Central Connecticut, OVC - Little Rock, Patriot - Bucknell, Southern - Samford, Southland - McNeese, SWAC - Grambling St, Summit - South Dakota St, Sun Belt - James Madison, WAC - Grand Canyon    
Banned  
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - St Thomas, Lindenwood, Queens, Southern Indiana, Stonehill, TAMU-Commerce, Le Moyne, Mercyhurst, West Georgia      
Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament.  
Teams in Black are Virtual LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest NET chosen for now)   
Teams in Red have work left to do or need help  

True Seed List

Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team
1 1 Kansas 5 17 Michigan 9 33 Miss St 13 51 JMU
2 Auburn 18 Baylor 34 Clemson 52 Samford
3 Tennessee 19 Connecticut 35 Louisville 53 Charleston
4 Marquette 20 Arkansas 36 UCLA 54 UC Irvine
2 5 Kentucky 6 21 Houston 10 37 Rutgers 14 55 Akron
6 Oregon 22 Ole Miss 38 Xavier 56 North Florida
7 Alabama 23 Florida 39 Texas 57 Little Rock
8 Duke 24 Cincinnati 40 Indiana 58 South Dakota St
3 9 Iowa St 7 25 Oklahoma 11 41 Drake 15 59 Vermont
10 Memphis 26 UNC 42 Creighton 60 Bucknell
11 Wisconsin 27 West Virginia 43 Nevada 61 Princeton
12 Gonzaga 28 Utah St 44 Arizona St 62 Marist
4 13 Illinois 8 29 St Johns 45 UGA 16 63 High Point
14 Purdue 30 SDSU 46 Boise St 64 Montana
15 Michigan St 31 St Marys 12 47 Dayton 65 Central Connecticut
16 Texas A&M 32 Arizona 48 Liberty 66 Milwaukee
          49 McNeese 67 Grambling St
          50 Grand Canyon 68 Howard
          1st 4 out 1 BYU Next 4 5 Texas Tech
          2 Vanderbilt 6 Ohio St
          3 Pittsburgh 7 Butler
          4 Wichita St 8 Kansas St

Bracket

Midwest - Indianapols   West - San Francisco
Wichita   Milwaukee
1 Kansas     1 Marquette  
16 Montana     16 Grambling St/Howard  
8 SDSU     8 Arizona  
9 Mississippi St     9 Clemson  
Providence   Providence
5 Michigan     5 UConn  
12 Liberty     12 Dayton  
13 Charleston     13 Samford  
4 Texas A&M     4 Michigan St  
Milwaukee   Seattle
3 Wisconsin     3 Gonzaga  
14 Little Rock     14 S Dakota St  
6 Florida     6 Cincinnati  
11 Nevada/Arizona St     11 Creighton  
Cleveland   Raleigh
10 Rutgers     10 Xavier  
7 West Virginia     7 UNC  
15 Bucknell     15 Marist  
2 Alabama     2 Kentucky  
             
East - Newark   South- Atlanta
Lexington   Lexington
1 Tennessee     1 Auburn  
16 High Point     16 Cent Conn/Milwaukee  
8 St Johns     8 St Marys  
9 Louisville     9 UCLA  
Denver   Denver
5 Baylor     5 Arkansas  
12 Grand Canyon     12 McNeese  
13 UC Irvine     13 JMU  
4 Illinois     4 Purdue  
Wichita   Cleveland
3 Iowa St     3 Memphis  
14 Akron     14 North Florida  
6 Houston     6 Ole Miss  
11 UGA/Boise St     11 Drake  
Raleigh   Seattle
10 Indiana     10 Texas  
7 Oklahoma     7 Utah St  
15 Vermont     15 Princeton  
2 Duke     2 Oregon  

Match-ups
Seed East - Newark Midwest - Indianapolis South - Atlanta West - San Francisco
1 Tennessee   Kansas   Auburn   Marquette  
16 High Point   Montana   Cent Conn/Milwaukee   Grambling St/Howard  
8 St Johns   SDSU   St Marys   Arizona  
9 Louisville   Mississippi St   UCLA   Clemson  
12 Grand Canyon   Liberty   McNeese   Dayton  
5 Baylor   Michigan   Arkansas   UConn  
13 UC Irvine   Charleston   JMU   Samford  
4 Illinois   Texas A&M   Purdue   Michigan St  
3 Iowa St   Wisconsin   Memphis   Gonzaga  
14 Akron   Little Rock   North Florida   S Dakota St  
6 Houston   Florida   Ole Miss   Cincinnati  
11 UGA/Boise St   Nevada/Arizona St   Drake   Creighton  
10 Indiana   Rutgers   Texas   Xavier  
7 Oklahoma   West Virginia   Utah St   UNC  
15 Vermont   Bucknell   Princeton   Marist  
2 Duke   Alabama   Oregon   Kentucky  

These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.  If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me.  Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess.  Thanks and enjoy.



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