One of the most accurate Bracketologists with 15+ year experience. 98% accuracy rate since 2005

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Official Bracketologist for

USA Today Sports
                                                                                                         

The wait is OVER - my bracket is here.  I've been away too long, plus USA Today had me get off my ass and do something. Complain all you want, but this is solid.  Have an issue, send me and argument why. See you again in November.

PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game.  Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences.

DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its NET in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..

The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.

Last updated 08/29/2022 12:57 PM Central Time 

Seeds

Seed East -  New York Midwest -  Kansas St South - Louisville West -  Las Vegas
1 North Carolina   Arkansas   Kentucky   UCLA  
2 Kansas   Houston   Duke   Gonzaga  
3 Michigan   Baylor   Arizona   Creighton  
4 Tennessee   Illinois   Villanova   Alabama  
5 TCU   Auburn   Michigan St   Texas  
6 Texas A&M   Oregon   Purdue   Dayton  
7 Colorado St   Xavier   Indiana   Texas Tech  
8 Ohio St   USC   Memphis   Iowa  
9 UConn   Oklahoma St   St Louis   San Diego St  
10 Virginia   Notre Dame   Providence   Virginia Tech  
11 Florida St/VCU   Marquette   St Marys   Colorado/Wyoming  
12 Drake   Iona   Vermont   Louisiana Tech  
13 Toledo   Winthrop   Colgate   Little Rock  
14 Liberty   Grand Canyon   Furman   UNC-Wilmington  
15 Oakland   South Dakota St   Wagner   UC Irvine  
16 Yale   Howard/Texas Southern   Louisiana/TAMU-CC   Montana  
Last 4 in - Florida St, VCU, Colorado, Wyoming  
First 4 out -  Seton Hall, Wisconsin, Louisville, Loyola-Chicago  
Next 4 out -  Davidson, LSU, Oklahoma, Florida      
Moving in - coming Feb 2023  
Moving out - coming Feb 2023  
Others considered for at-large bids - Cincinnati, SMU, Temple, Tulsa, UCF, Wichita St, Richmond, St. Bonaventure, Clemson, Georgia Tech, Miami, NC State, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Wake Forest, Butler, DePaul, Georgetown, St Johns, Maryland, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern, Penn St, Rutgers, Iowa St, Kansas St, West Virginia, Belmont, Missouri St, Murray St, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi St, Missouri, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Boise St, Nevada, UNLV, Utah St, Arizona St, California, Oregon St, Stanford, Utah, Washington, Washington St, BYU    
On Life Support (but probably dead) -coming Feb 2023      
No longer considered for at-large bid (must win conf tourney) - coming Feb 2023       
Multi bid conferences -  Big 10 (7), ACC (6), Big 12 (6), Big East (6), SEC (6), PAC 12 (5), A10 (3), MWC (3), AAC (2), WCC (2)      
Leaders or highest NET from projected 1-bid conferences - (22 total):  America East - Vermont, Atlantic Sun - Liberty, Big Sky - Montana, Big South - Winthrop, Big West - UC Irvine, CAA - UNC-Wilmington, C-USA - Louisiana Tech, Horizon - Oakland, Ivy League - Yale, MAAC - Iona, MAC - Toledo, MEAC - Howard, Missouri Valley - Drake, Northeast - Wagner, OVC - Little Rock, Patriot - Colgate, Southern - Furman, Southland - Texas A&M-CC, SWAC - Texas Southern, Summit - South Dakota St, Sun Belt - Louisiana, WAC - Grand Canyon    
Banned - Oklahoma St  
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - Cal Baptist, North Alabama, Merrimack, Dixie State, Tarleton State, Bellarmine, UC San Diego, St Thomas, Lindenwood, Queens, Southern Indiana, Stonehill, TAMU-Commerce      
Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament.  
Teams in Black are Virtual LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest NET chosen for now)   
Teams in Red have work left to do or need help  

True Seed List

Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team
1 1 Kentucky 5 17 Auburn 9 33 Uconn 13 51 Toledo
2 Arkansas 18 TCU 34 San Diago St 52 Winthrop
3 North Carolina 19 Michigan St 35 St Louis 53 Little Rock
4 UCLA 20 Texas 36 Oklahoma St 54 Colgate
2 5 Houston 6 21 Texas A&M 10 37 Virginia 14 55 Liberty
6 Duke 22 Dayton 38 Notre Dame 56 Grand Canyon
7 Kansas 23 Purdue 39 Providence 57 Furman
8 Gonzaga 24 Oregon 40 Virginia Tech 58 UNC Wilmington
3 9 Baylor 7 25 Colorado St 11 41 St Marys 15 59 Oakland
10 Arizona 26 Xavier 42 Marquette 60 UC Irvine
11 Creighton 27 Indiana 43 Florida St 61 South Dak St
12 Michigan 28 Texas Tech 44 VCU 62 Wagner
4 13 Villanova 8 29 Memphis 45 Colorado 16 63 Montana
14 Tennessee 30 Iowa 46 Wyoming 64 Yale
15 Illinois 31 Ohio St 12 47 Drake 65 Louisiana
16 Alabama 32 USC 48 Iona 66 TAMU-CC
          49 Louisiana Tech 67 Howard
          50 Vermont 68 TX Southern
          1st 4 out 1 Seton Hall Next 4 5 Davidson
          2 Wisconsin 6 LSU
          3 Louisville 7 Oklahoma
          4 Loyola-Chicago 8 Florida

Bracket

South - Louisville   Midwest - Kansas City
Columbus   Birmingham 
1 Kentucky     1 Arkansas  
16 Louisiana/TAMU-CC     16 Howard/Texas Southern  
8 Memphis     8 USC  
9 St Louis     9 Oklahoma St  
Albany   Denver
5 Michigan St     5 Auburn  
12 Vermont     12 Iona  
13 Colgate     13 Winthrop  
4 Villanova     4 Illinois  
Denver   Birmingham 
3 Arizona     3 Baylor  
14 Furman     14 Grand Canyon  
6 Purdue     6 Oregon  
11 St Marys     11 Marquette  
Greensboro   Des Moines
10 Providence     10 Notre Dame  
7 Indiana     7 Xavier  
15 Wagner     15 South Dakota St  
2 Duke     2 Houston  
             
East - New York   West - Las Vegas
Greensboro   Sacramento
1 North Carolina     1 UCLA  
16 Yale     16 Montana  
8 Ohio St     8 Iowa  
9 UConn     9 San Diego St  
Orlando   Orlando
5 TCU     5 Texas  
12 Drake     12 Louisiana Tech  
13 Toledo     13 Little Rock  
4 Tennessee     4 Alabama  
Albany   Columbus
3 Michigan     3 Creighton  
14 Liberty     14 UNC-Wilmington  
6 Texas A&M     6 Dayton  
11 Florida St/VCU     11 Colorado/Wyoming  
Des Moines   Sacramento
10 Virginia     10 Virginia Tech  
7 Colorado St     7 Texas Tech  
15 Oakland     15 UC Irvine  
2 Kansas     2 Gonzaga  
Match-ups
Seed East -  New York Midwest -  Kansas St South - Louisville West -  Las Vegas
1 North Carolina   Arkansas   Kentucky   UCLA  
16 Yale   Howard/Texas Southern   Louisiana/TAMU-CC   Montana  
8 Ohio St   USC   Memphis   Iowa  
9 UConn   Oklahoma St   St Louis   San Diego St  
12 Drake   Iona   Vermont   Louisiana Tech  
5 TCU   Auburn   Michigan St   Texas  
13 Toledo   Winthrop   Colgate   Little Rock  
4 Tennessee   Illinois   Villanova   Alabama  
3 Michigan   Baylor   Arizona   Creighton  
14 Liberty   Grand Canyon   Furman   UNC-Wilmington  
6 Texas A&M   Oregon   Purdue   Dayton  
11 Florida St/VCU   Marquette   St Marys   Colorado/Wyoming  
10 Virginia   Notre Dame   Providence   Virginia Tech  
7 Colorado St   Xavier   Indiana   Texas Tech  
15 Oakland   South Dakota St   Wagner   UC Irvine  
2 Kansas   Houston   Duke   Gonzaga  

These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.  If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me.  Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess.  Thanks and enjoy.

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