One of the most accurate Bracketologists with 20+ year experience. 98% accuracy rate since 2005

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UPDATED DAILY starting in January!!!! If this looks old, hit refresh!

Official Bracketologist for
                                                                                                         

Feb 17 bracket - The only changes occurred within seed lines, no major upsets, bracket-wise, Sunday. Memphis lost to Wichita St, on the road, in OT, Ohio St lost to Michigan, at home, not a blow out. New Mexico got by Utah St at home, barely. Maryland turned it on 2nd half vs. Iowa. Drake took a home loss, but to Bradley. Big Monday tomorrow!

PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game.  Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences. MOVEMENT ARROWS ARE TO THE RIGHT OF A TEAM.

DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its NET in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..

The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.

Last updated 02/16/2025 08:10 PM Central Time 

Seeds

Seed East - Newark Midwest - Indianapolis South - Atlanta West - San Francisco
1 Duke 22-3   Alabama 21-4   Auburn 23-2   Florida 22-3  
2 Tennessee 21-5   Wisconsin 20-5   Texas A&M 20-5   Houston 21-4  
3 Texas Tech 20-5   Iowa St 20-5   Purdue 19-7   Kentucky 17-8  
4 St Johns 21-4   Kansas 17-8   Arizona 17-8   Michigan 20-5  
5 UCLA 19-7   Michigan St 20-5   Marquette 19-6   Maryland 20-6  
6 Clemson 21-5   Illinois 17-9   Ole Miss 17-7   Memphis 21-5  
7 UConn 17-8   Mississippi St 18-7   Missouri 19-6   Louisville 20-6  
8 Gonzaga 19-7   Oregon 18-8   Creighton 18-8   St Marys 23-4  
9 Utah St 22-4   New Mexico 22-4   Ohio St 15-11   Baylor 16-9  
10 Oklahoma 16-9   West Virginia 15-10   Nebraska 17-9   Texas 16-10  
11 Georgia 16-10/BYU 17-8   SDSU 17-6   Drake 23-3   Vanderbilt 17-8/Wake Forest 19-7  
12 Grand Canyon 19-6   McNeese 20-6   UC Irvine 22-4   VCU 19-5  
13 Yale 16-6   High Point 23-5   UNCW 21-6   Arkansas St 19-8  
14 Lipscomb 19-8   Jacksonville St 18-8   Akron 20-5   Samford 20-7  
15 Cleveland St 18-9   Marist 18-5   S Dakota St 18-9   N Colorado 19-8  
16 Bryant 17-10/Norfolk St 17-8   SEMO 17-10   American 17-10/Southern 16-9   Cent Conn 19-6  
Last 4 in - Vanderbilt, BYU, Wake Forest, Georgia  
First 4 out - SMU, Indiana, Xavier, UNC  
Next 4 out - Cincinnati, Arkansas, Kansas St, Pittsburgh      
Moving in -   
Moving out -   
Others considered for at-large bids -  USC, Arizona St, Stanford, Villanova, Bradley, San Francisco, George Mason, Iowa, Boise St, Colorado St, UCF    
On Life Support (but probably dead) -  Penn St, St Bonaventure, Florida St, South Carolina, LSU, Washington, Santa Clara, TCU, Dayton, Oregon St, Utah, North Texas, Northwestern, Rutgers      
No longer considered for at-large bid (must win conf tourney) - Wichita St, DePaul, Boston College, FAU, Virginia, NC St, Rhode Island, Providence, Georgetown, Nevada, St Josephs, Colorado, Washington St, Butler      
Multi bid conferences -  SEC (13), Big 10 (10), Big 12 (8), ACC (4), Big East (4), MWC (3), WCC (2)      
Leaders or highest NET from projected 1-bid conferences - (24 total):  A-10 - VCU, AAC - Memphis, America East - Bryant, Atlantic Sun - Lipscomb, Big Sky - N Colorado, Big South - High Point, Big West - UC Irvine, CAA - UNCW, C-USA - Jacksonville St, Horizon - Cleveland St, Ivy League - Yale, MAAC - Marist, MAC - Akron, MEAC - Norfolk St, MWC - Drake, Northeast - Central Connecticut, OVC - SEMO, Patriot - American, Southern - Samford, Southland - McNeese, SWAC - Southern, Summit - South Dakota St, Sun Belt - Arkansas St, WAC - Grand Canyon    
Banned -   
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney - St Thomas, Lindenwood, Queens, Southern Indiana, Stonehill, TAMU-Commerce, Le Moyne, Mercyhurst, West Georgia      
Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament.  
Teams in Black are Virtual LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest NET chosen for now)   
Teams in Red have work left to do or need help  

True Seed List

Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team Seed Line Overall Seed Team
1 1 Auburn 5 17 Michigan St 9 33 Baylor 13 51 Arkansas St
2 Duke 18 Marquette 34 New Mexico 52 High Point
3 Alabama 19 Maryland 35 Ohio St 53 Yale
4 Florida 20 UCLA 36 Utah St 54 UNCW
2 5 Tennessee 6 21 Illinois 10 37 Nebraska 14 55 Akron
6 Texas A&M 22 Ole Miss 38 Texas 56 Samford
7 Houston 23 Clemson 39 Oklahoma 57 Jacksonville St
8 Wisconsin 24 Memphis 40 West Virginia 58 Lipscomb
3 9 Purdue 7 25 Missouri 11 41 SDSU 15 59 N Colorado
10 Iowa St 26 Miss St 42 Vanderbilt 60 South Dakota St
11 Kentucky 27 Louisville 43 BYU 61 Cleveland St
12 Texas Tech 28 Connecticut 44 Wake Forest 62 Marist
4 13 Michigan 8 29 St Marys 45 Georgia 16 63 Cent Conn
14 Arizona 30 Creighton 46 Drake 64 SEMO
15 St Johns 31 Oregon 12 47 VCU 65 Norfolk St
16 Kansas 32 Gonzaga 48 UC Irvine 66 Bryant
          49 Grand Canyon 67 Southern
          50 McNeese 68 American
          1st 4 out 1 SMU Next 4 5 Cincinnati
          2 Indiana 6 Arkansas
          3 Xavier 7 Kansas St
          4 UNC 8 Pittsburgh

Bracket

South- Atlanta   West - San Francisco
Lexington   Raleigh
1 Auburn 23-2     1 Florida 22-3  
16 American 17-10/Southern 16-9     16 Cent Conn 19-6  
8 Creighton 18-8     8 St Marys 23-4  
9 Ohio St 15-11     9 Baylor 16-9  
Seattle   Providence
5 Marquette 19-6     5 Maryland 20-6  
12 UC Irvine 22-4     12 VCU 19-5  
13 UNCW 21-6     13 Arkansas St 19-8  
4 Arizona 17-8     4 Michigan 20-5  
Milwaukee   Cleveland
3 Purdue 19-7     3 Kentucky 17-8  
14 Akron 20-5     14 Samford 20-7  
6 Ole Miss 17-7     6 Memphis 21-5  
11 Drake 23-3     11 Vanderbilt 17-8/Wake Forest 19-7  
Wichita   Wichita
10 Nebraska 17-9     10 Texas 16-10  
7 Missouri 19-6     7 Louisville 20-6  
15 S Dakota St 18-9     15 N Colorado 19-8  
2 Texas A&M 20-5     2 Houston 21-4  
             
East - Newark   Midwest - Indianapolis
Raleigh   Lexington
1 Duke 22-3     1 Alabama 21-4  
16 Bryant 17-10/Norfolk St 17-8     16 SEMO 17-10  
8 Gonzaga 19-7     8 Oregon 18-8  
9 Utah St 22-4     9 New Mexico 22-4  
Seattle   Providence
5 UCLA 19-7     5 Michigan St 20-5  
12 Grand Canyon 19-6     12 McNeese 20-6  
13 Yale 16-6     13 High Point 23-5  
4 St Johns 21-4     4 Kansas 17-8  
Denver   Denver
3 Texas Tech 20-5     3 Iowa St 20-5  
14 Lipscomb 19-8     14 Jacksonville St 18-8  
6 Clemson 21-5     6 Illinois 17-9  
11 Georgia 16-10/BYU 17-8     11 SDSU 17-6  
Cleveland   Milwaukee
10 Oklahoma 16-9     10 West Virginia 15-10  
7 UConn 17-8     7 Mississippi St 18-7  
15 Cleveland St 18-9     15 Marist 18-5  
2 Tennessee 21-5     2 Wisconsin 20-5  
Match-ups
Seed East - Newark Midwest - Indianapolis South - Atlanta West - San Francisco
1 Duke 22-3   Alabama 21-4   Auburn 23-2   Florida 22-3  
16 Bryant 17-10/Norfolk St 17-8   SEMO 17-10   American 17-10/Southern 16-9   Cent Conn 19-6  
8 Gonzaga 19-7   Oregon 18-8   Creighton 18-8   St Marys 23-4  
9 Utah St 22-4   New Mexico 22-4   Ohio St 15-11   Baylor 16-9  
12 Grand Canyon 19-6   McNeese 20-6   UC Irvine 22-4   VCU 19-5  
5 UCLA 19-7   Michigan St 20-5   Marquette 19-6   Maryland 20-6  
13 Yale 16-6   High Point 23-5   UNCW 21-6   Arkansas St 19-8  
4 St Johns 21-4   Kansas 17-8   Arizona 17-8   Michigan 20-5  
3 Texas Tech 20-5   Iowa St 20-5   Purdue 19-7   Kentucky 17-8  
14 Lipscomb 19-8   Jacksonville St 18-8   Akron 20-5   Samford 20-7  
6 Clemson 21-5   Illinois 17-9   Ole Miss 17-7   Memphis 21-5  
11 Georgia 16-10/BYU 17-8   SDSU 17-6   Drake 23-3   Vanderbilt 17-8/Wake Forest 19-7  
10 Oklahoma 16-9   West Virginia 15-10   Nebraska 17-9   Texas 16-10  
7 UConn 17-8   Mississippi St 18-7   Missouri 19-6   Louisville 20-6  
15 Cleveland St 18-9   Marist 18-5   S Dakota St 18-9   N Colorado 19-8  
2 Tennessee 21-5   Wisconsin 20-5   Texas A&M 20-5   Houston 21-4  

These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.  If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me.  Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess.  Thanks and enjoy.

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