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Michigan with the big road win is now in LOCK status for me. TCU moved closer to being a lock, Auburn won impressively while being shorthanded. Duke destroyed Louisville, who simply looked like they didn't want to be there.

PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game.  Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences.

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DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its Ratings Percentage Index in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..

The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.

Last updated 02/22/2018 05:52 AM Central Time 

Seeds

Seed East - Boston Midwest - Omaha South - Atlanta West - Los Angeles
1 Villanova 25-3   Xavier 25-4   Virginia 25-2   Kansas 22-6  
2 Duke 23-5   Purdue 24-5   Auburn 24-4   North Carolina 22-7  
3 Cincinnati 23-4   Texas Tech 22-6   Michigan State 27-3   Arizona 21-6  
4 Ohio State 23-7   Clemson 20-7   Wichita State 22-5   Tennessee 20-7  
5 Kentucky 19-9   Rhode Island 22-4   Gonzaga 25-4   West Virginia 20-8  
6 Arizona State 19-7   Alabama 17-11   Texas A&M 17-11   Houston 21-5  
7 Nevada 24-5   Arkansas 19-9   Missouri 18-10   Michigan 23-7
8 Florida State 19-8   Oklahoma 16-11 Seton Hall 18-9   Virginia Tech 20-8
9 Kansas State 20-8   Miami 19-8   TCU 19-9 Creighton 19-9  
10 Providence 17-10   Butler 19-10   Texas 16-12   Florida 17-11
11 NC State 19-9   Washington 18-9/Syracuse 18-10   Saint Bonaventure 21-6/Baylor 16-11   Saint Mary's 25-4  
12 South Dakota State 23-6   MTSU 22-5   Louisiana 23-4   Loyola-Chicago 24-5  
13 New Mexico State 22-5   Vermont 23-6   Belmont 22-7   Buffalo 20-8  
14 Rider 21-7   Charleston 22-6   ETSU 23-6   UCSB 20-6  
15 Bucknell 21-9   Wright State 21-8   Montana 20-7   Penn 19-7  
16 Southern 14-14/NC A&T 17-11   Nicholls State 19-9/FGCU 20-10   Wagner 20-7   UNC-Asheville 19-10  
Last 4 in - Saint Bonaventure, Baylor, Syracuse, Washington  
First 4 out - LSU, Marquette, UCLA, Utah  
Moving In  
Moving out  
Others considered for at-large bids - Louisville, USC, Nebraska, Mississippi State      
On Life Support - Temple, Oregon, Notre Dame, Western Kentucky, South Carolina, Maryland, Oklahoma State, Boise State, Georgia, Penn State      
No longer considered for at-large bid (starting Jan 15) - Northwestern, Wisconsin, Saint Johns, San Diego State, Stanford, Minnesota, Ole Miss, SMU, BYU, Boston College, Colorado, UCF, Iowa State      
Multi bid conferences - ACC (9), Big 12 (8), SEC (8), Big East (6), Big 10 (4), Pac 12 (3), AAC (3), A10 (2), WCC (2)  
Leaders or highest RPI from projected 1-bid conferences - (23 total)America East - Vermont, Atlantic Sun - FGCU, Big Sky - Montana, Big South - UNC-Asheville, Big West - UCSB, CAA - Charleston, C-USA - MTSU, Horizon - Wright State, Ivy - Penn, MAAC - Rider, MAC - Buffalo, MEAC - NC A&T, MVC - Loyola-Chicago, MWC - Nevada, Northeast - Wagner, Ohio Valley - Belmont, Patriot - Bucknell, Southern - ETSU, Southland - Nicholls State, SWAC - Southern, Summit - South Dakota State, Sun Belt - Louisiana, WAC - New Mexico State      
Banned from participating - Alabama A&M, Grambling, SE Missouri State  
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney      
                 
Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament.  
Teams in Black are LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest RPI chosen for now)   
Teams in Red have work left to do  

Bracket

East - Boston     Midwest - Omaha  
Pittsburgh   Detroit
1 Villanova 25-3     1 Xavier 25-4  
16 Southern 14-14/NC A&T 17-11     16 Nicholls State 19-9/FGCU 20-10  
8 Florida State 19-8     8 Oklahoma 16-11
9 Kansas State 20-8     9 Miami 19-8  
San Diego   Dallas
5 Kentucky 19-9     5 Rhode Island 22-4  
12 South Dakota State 23-6     12 MTSU 22-5  
13 New Mexico State 22-5     13 Vermont 23-6  
4 Ohio State 23-7     4 Clemson 20-7  
Wichita   Dallas
3 Cincinnati 23-4     3 Texas Tech 22-6  
14 Rider 21-7     14 Charleston 22-6  
6 Arizona State 19-7     6 Alabama 17-11  
11 NC State 19-9     11 Washington 18-9/Syracuse 18-10  
Charlotte   Nashville
10 Providence 17-10     10 Butler 19-10  
7 Nevada 24-5     7 Arkansas 19-9  
15 Bucknell 21-9     15 Wright State 21-8  
2 Duke 23-5     2 Purdue 24-5  
             
South - Atlanta     West - Los Angeles  
Pittsburgh   Wichita
1 Virginia 25-2     1 Kansas 22-6  
16 Wagner 20-7     16 UNC-Asheville 19-10  
8 Seton Hall 18-9     8 Virginia Tech 20-8
9 TCU 19-9   9 Creighton 19-9  
Boise   Boise
5 Gonzaga 25-4     5 West Virginia 20-8  
12 Louisiana 23-4     12 Loyola-Chicago 24-5  
13 Belmont 22-7     13 Buffalo 20-8  
4 Wichita State 22-5     4 Tennessee 20-7  
Detroit   San Diego
3 Michigan State 27-3     3 Arizona 21-6  
14 ETSU 23-6     14 UCSB 20-6  
6 Texas A&M 17-11     6 Houston 21-5  
11 Saint Bonaventure 21-6/Baylor 16-11     11 Saint Mary's 25-4  
Nashville   Charlotte
10 Texas 16-12     10 Florida 17-11
7 Missouri 18-10     7 Michigan 23-7
15 Montana 20-7     15 Penn 19-7  
2 Auburn 24-4     2 North Carolina 22-7  

Match-ups
Seed East - Boston Midwest - Omaha South - Atlanta West - Los Angeles
1 Villanova 25-3   Xavier 25-4   Virginia 25-2   Kansas 22-6  
16 Southern 14-14/NC A&T 17-11   Nicholls State 19-9/FGCU 20-10   Wagner 20-7   UNC-Asheville 19-10  
8 Florida State 19-8   Oklahoma 16-11 Seton Hall 18-9   Virginia Tech 20-8
9 Kansas State 20-8   Miami 19-8   TCU 19-9 Creighton 19-9  
12 South Dakota State 23-6   MTSU 22-5   Louisiana 23-4   Loyola-Chicago 24-5  
5 Kentucky 19-9   Rhode Island 22-4   Gonzaga 25-4   West Virginia 20-8  
13 New Mexico State 22-5   Vermont 23-6   Belmont 22-7   Buffalo 20-8  
4 Ohio State 23-7   Clemson 20-7   Wichita State 22-5   Tennessee 20-7  
3 Cincinnati 23-4   Texas Tech 22-6   Michigan State 27-3   Arizona 21-6  
14 Rider 21-7   Charleston 22-6   ETSU 23-6   UCSB 20-6  
6 Arizona State 19-7   Alabama 17-11   Texas A&M 17-11   Houston 21-5  
11 NC State 19-9   Washington 18-9/Syracuse 18-10   Saint Bonaventure 21-6/Baylor 16-11   Saint Mary's 25-4  
10 Providence 17-10   Butler 19-10   Texas 16-12   Florida 17-11
7 Nevada 24-5   Arkansas 19-9   Missouri 18-10   Michigan 23-7
15 Bucknell 21-9   Wright State 21-8   Montana 20-7   Penn 19-7  
2 Duke 23-5   Purdue 24-5   Auburn 24-4   North Carolina 22-7  

These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.  If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me.  Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess.  Thanks and enjoy.



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