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A relatively sane night gives us this bracket today. Georgia scoots back in, barely, by topping LSU on the road. LSU scoots out for now. Notre Dame almost drops out after a double OT loss to Louisville, but stay for now. UNC and Purdue won home tilts, TAMU got on the board in the SE and Kentucky dropped one at South Carolina. The biggest surprise was OU losing at Kansas State, an upset for sure, but K State needed it and played like they did.

PLEASE NOTE - My projections are based on at-large chances, so only conference leaders from 1-bid conferences are not placed in a First Four game.  Until a team wins the conference tournament, they are not officially a lock and can be placed in a First Four game or even out for multi-bid conferences.

DISCLAIMER: From Wikipedia - Bracketology is the process of predicting the field of college basketball participants in the NCAA Basketball Tournament, named as such because it is commonly used to fill in tournament brackets for the postseason. It incorporates some method of predicting what the NCAA Selection Committee will use as its Ratings Percentage Index in order to determine at-large (non-conference winning) teams to complete the field of 68 teams, and, to seed the field by ranking all teams from first through sixty-eighth. Bracketology also encompasses the process of predicting the winners of each of the brackets. In recent years the concept of Bracketology has been applied to areas outside of basketball..

The part above that is in bold - this is what I do. If you choose to use my picks to try and win your office pool, then it's your own fault for doing so. I stink when it comes to doing that and make no secret about it. Madness is Madness, it rules, and no one gets them all right.

Last updated 01/17/2018 06:34 AM Central Time 

Seeds

Seed East - Boston Midwest - Omaha South - Atlanta West - Los Angeles
1 Villanova 16-1   Purdue 18-2   Duke 16-2   Virginia 16-1  
2 West Virginia 16-3   Kansas 15-3   Oklahoma 14-3   Wichita State 15-2  
3 Auburn 16-1   Xavier 16-3   Seton Hall 15-3   Texas Tech 15-2  
4 North Carolina 15-4   Arizona State 14-3   Tennessee 12-4 Arizona 14-4  
5 Kentucky 14-4 TCU 13-4   Clemson 15-3   Cincinnati 16-2  
6 Nevada 16-3   Florida 12-5   Ohio State 15-4   Rhode Island 13-3  
7 Louisville 13-4 Arkansas 12-5   Michigan State 16-3   Miami 13-4  
8 Michigan 16-4   Gonzaga 16-3 Creighton 14-4   Texas 11-6  
9 Butler 13-7   Texas A&M 12-6   Alabama 10-6   Marquette 13-6  
10 UCLA 13-5 Washington 13-5   Providence 13-6   Missouri 12-5  
11 Florida State 12-5   Syracuse 13-6   USC 13-6/Western Kentucky 13-5   Mid Tennessee 13-4  
12 New Mexico State 15-3   Buffalo 13-5   South Dakota State 16-5   Notre Dame 13-6/Georgia 12-5 ↓↑
13 SFA 15-3   Louisiana 15-3   Missouri State 14-5   Wright State 14-5  
14 Vermont 14-5   Murray State 13-4   William & Mary 12-5   ETSU 14-4  
15 CS Fullerton 11-5   FGCU 12-8   Bucknell 11-8   Montana 13-5  
16 NC A&T 9-8/Jackson State 9-10   Robert Morris 11-8/Penn 11-5   Iona 11-7   Radford 12-7  
                 
Last 4 in - USC, Western Kentucky, Notre Dame, Georgia  
First 4 out - Saint Bonaventure, Saint Mary's, LSU, Boise State  
Moving In - LSU  
Moving out - Georgia  
Others considered for at-large bids (no particular order) - Virginia Tech, Iowa State, Minnesota, Boston College, Kansas State, Nebraska, UCF, San Diego State, Baylor, Houston, South Carolina, Utah, Oklahoma State, BYU, Maryland, Colorado, Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Oregon, SMU, Saint Johns, Temple, NC State      
On Life Support -       
No longer considered for at-large bid (starting Jan 15) - Northwestern, Wisconsin      
Multi bid conferences - ACC (9), SEC (9), Big East (7), Big 12 (6), Pac 12 (5), Big 10 (4), AAC (2), Conference USA (2)  
Leaders or highest RPI from projected 1-bid conferences - (23 total): A10 - Rhode Island, America East - Vermont, Atlantic Sun - FGCU, Big Sky - Montana, Big South - Radford, Big West - CS Fullerton, CAA - William & Mary, Horizon - Wright State, Ivy - Penn, MAAC - Iona, MAC - Buffalo, MEAC - NC A&T, MVC - Missouri State, MWC - Nevada, Northeast - Robert Morris, Ohio Valley - Murray State, Patriot - Bucknell, Southern - ETSU, Southland - Stephen F. Austin, SWAC - Jackson State, Summit - South Dakota State, Sun Belt - Louisiana, WAC - New Mexico State, WCC - Gonzaga      
                 
Banned from participating - Alabama A&M, Grambling, Savannah State, SE Missouri State  
Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney      
                 
Teams in Blue are officially IN the tournament.  
Teams in Black are LOCKS for the tournament as of today (Bold faced for 1-bid leagues - league leader or highest RPI chosen for now)   

 


Bracket

East - Boston     West - Los Angeles  
Pittsburgh   Charlotte
1 Villanova 16-1     1 Virginia 16-1  
16 NC A&T 9-8/Jackson State 9-10     16 Radford 12-7  
8 Michigan 16-4     8 Texas 11-6  
9 Butler 13-7     9 Marquette 13-6  
Boise   San Diego
5 Kentucky 14-4   5 Cincinnati 16-2  
12 New Mexico State 15-3     12 Notre Dame 13-6/Georgia 12-5 ↓↑
13 SFA 15-3     13 Wright State 14-5  
4 North Carolina 15-4     4 Arizona 14-4  
Nashville   Dallas
3 Auburn 16-1     3 Texas Tech 15-2  
14 Vermont 14-5     14 ETSU 14-4  
6 Nevada 16-3     6 Rhode Island 13-3  
11 Florida State 12-5     11 Mid Tennessee 13-4  
Pittsburgh   Dallas
10 UCLA 13-5   10 Missouri 12-5  
7 Louisville 13-4   7 Miami 13-4  
15 CS Fullerton 11-5     15 Montana 13-5  
2 West Virginia 16-3     2 Wichita State 15-2  
             
South - Atlanta     Midwest - Omaha  
Charlotte   Detroit
1 Duke 16-2     1 Purdue 18-2  
16 Iona 11-7     16 Robert Morris 11-8/Penn 11-5  
8 Creighton 14-4     8 Gonzaga 16-3
9 Alabama 10-6     9 Texas A&M 12-6  
Boise   San Diego
5 Clemson 15-3     5 TCU 13-4  
12 South Dakota State 16-5     12 Buffalo 13-5  
13 Missouri State 14-5     13 Louisiana 15-3  
4 Tennessee 12-4   4 Arizona State 14-3  
Detroit   Nashville
3 Seton Hall 15-3     3 Xavier 16-3  
14 William & Mary 12-5     14 Murray State 13-4  
6 Ohio State 15-4     6 Florida 12-5  
11 USC 13-6/Western Kentucky 13-5     11 Syracuse 13-6  
Wichita   Wichita
10 Providence 13-6     10 Washington 13-5  
7 Michigan State 16-3     7 Arkansas 12-5  
15 Bucknell 11-8     15 FGCU 12-8  
2 Oklahoma 14-3     2 Kansas 15-3  

Match-ups
Seed East - Boston Midwest - Omaha South - Atlanta West - Los Angeles
1 Villanova 16-1   Purdue 18-2   Duke 16-2   Virginia 16-1  
16 NC A&T 9-8/Jackson State 9-10   Robert Morris 11-8/Penn 11-5   Iona 11-7   Radford 12-7  
8 Michigan 16-4   Gonzaga 16-3 Creighton 14-4   Texas 11-6  
9 Butler 13-7   Texas A&M 12-6   Alabama 10-6   Marquette 13-6  
12 New Mexico State 15-3   Buffalo 13-5   South Dakota State 16-5   Notre Dame 13-6/Georgia 12-5 ↓↑
5 Kentucky 14-4 TCU 13-4   Clemson 15-3   Cincinnati 16-2  
13 SFA 15-3   Louisiana 15-3   Missouri State 14-5   Wright State 14-5  
4 North Carolina 15-4   Arizona State 14-3   Tennessee 12-4 Arizona 14-4  
3 Auburn 16-1   Xavier 16-3   Seton Hall 15-3   Texas Tech 15-2  
14 Vermont 14-5   Murray State 13-4   William & Mary 12-5   ETSU 14-4  
6 Nevada 16-3   Florida 12-5   Ohio State 15-4   Rhode Island 13-3  
11 Florida State 12-5   Syracuse 13-6   USC 13-6/Western Kentucky 13-5   Mid Tennessee 13-4  
10 UCLA 13-5 Washington 13-5   Providence 13-6   Missouri 12-5  
7 Louisville 13-4 Arkansas 12-5   Michigan State 16-3   Miami 13-4  
15 CS Fullerton 11-5   FGCU 12-8   Bucknell 11-8   Montana 13-5  
2 West Virginia 16-3   Kansas 15-3   Oklahoma 14-3   Wichita State 15-2  

These projections are based on how I think the committee will make their selections, not how I would want to make them, if the season ended TODAY.  If you have any questions or comments about these predictions, if you find any errors, or if you just want to talk hoops feel free to email me.  Please note this is for entertainment purposes only. Yes, W.A.G. stands for Wild Ass Guess.  Thanks and enjoy.



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